Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2024

Mavericks at Warriors

2:00 am • TNT

Dallas Mavericks

18-10

100

100 - 104

Golden State Warriors

15-12

104

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 18-10	+1	PK-112	o232-112	-111
Warriors 15-12	u232	PK-107	u232-105	-107

Wednesday 2:00 a.m.

April 03, 2024

Chase CenterSan Francisco

DAL -1-109

S.Curry o4.5 3pt M-145

1.45u

L.Doncic o3.5 3pt M-150

Under 232-110

L.Doncic o9.5 Rebs-140

0.36u

@JayMoneyIsMoney23

S.Curry o9.5 Rebs+Ast+104

0.52u

@JoeDellera

D.Green u5.5 Ast+112

0.5u

@HPBasketball

DAL -110

1.1u

L.Doncic o9.5 Rebs-135

0.74u

@JayMoneyIsMoney23

S.Curry o8.5 Rebs+Ast-150

0.67u

@JoeDellera

S.Curry o8.5 Rebs+Ast-135

0.74u

The Warriors are fighting for their Playoff lives and one player that will need to continue to lean on in this matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is Stephen Curry. Curry has struggled to score in this matchup and has only cracked 30 points 3 times in 13 games over the last few years. However, he has made his impact as a primary facilitator and kickstarter to the offense. His RA line is set at 8.5, and he has exceeded this mark in all 13 games against the Mavericks dating back to January of 2022. There are some Playoff games mixed in there but even in the 8 regular season games he has averaged 7.9 assists and 5.6 rebounds. He has been tremendous in this spot. He had 9 RA (2 rebounds 7 assists) back in December but that was when the Warriors were starting Chris Paul alongside of Steph. Now, with CP3 on the bench, there is greater facilitating upside for Curry. He has averaged 9 RA and exceeded this line in 10/18 games since the ASB and I’ll trust that along with the 100% hit rate in this matchup over the past few seasons. I like Curry to exceed 8.5 RA tonight.

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 38% from three (126/330) in close and late situations this season -- T-4th-best in the NBA; the Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three in close and late situations this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Warriors has averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed 17.2 offensive rebounds/game this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 9-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Warriors' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	15-11-1	6-5-1	9-6	7-7	8-4-1
Mavericks	16-11-1	8-5	8-6-1	10-7	6-4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	12-15	6-6	6-9	7-7	5-8
Mavericks	15-13	4-9	11-4	6-11	9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	15-12	N/A	N/A	9-5	6-7
Mavericks	18-10	N/A	N/A	12-5	6-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	@SAS	W 117-113	-10.5 L	O 228	GSW -520
Mar 29th	@CHA	W 115-97	-12 W	U 219.5	GSW -760
Mar 27th	@ORL	W 101-93	+4 W	U 218.5	GSW +143
Mar 26th	@MIA	W 113-92	-4.5 W	U 217	GSW -205
Mar 24th	@MIN	L 110-114	+2 L	O 219.5	MIN +114