Heat vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2024

Heat at Pistons

7:00 pm • BSDET
104 - 101

Heat at Pistons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
6-7
-5.5-106
o214-110
-218
Pistons
7-9
+5.5-113
u214-110
+180
location pinSunday 7:00 p.m.
March 17, 2024
Little Caesars ArenaDetroit
Heat vs. Pistons Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
249d ago
Last 30d: 91-131-1 (-6.1u)
Under 214-110
0.5u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
249d ago
Last 30d: 85-81-3 (+35.8u)
S.Fontecchio o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
249d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
S.Fontecchio o17.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1u
The Pistons take on the Miami Heat on Sunday and one player to target is a favorite of ours, Simone Fontecchio. Fontecchio has torched Miami twice this season for 22 and 24 points since he was traded to Detroit, even in the game he played with Utah, he scored 12 points but secured 7 rebounds as well. Miami is susceptible to the type of shot he takes, 3s and catch and shoot opportunities. Furthermore, Fontecchio can put the ball on the floor if needed and drive to the rack. Fontecchio has averaged 20.1 PR over his last 10 games but 25.8 against the Heat in four contests over the last two seasons with 19+ in each of the four. His rebounding floor is fairly high with the potential for spikes in both scoring and rebounding. I expect Fontecchio to exceed 17.5 PR.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
250d ago
Last 30d: 48-84-2 (+5.0u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
250d ago
Last 30d: 8-15-1 (+3.1u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Via @PropBetGuy . I played his points last game, going right back to it.
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
250d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
1u
I’d take up to o13.5 at +100 for a full unit. 24 and 22 vs MIA in the last week - the spot up shooting effect is real. Plus, Miami won both games - I don’t see them shifting off of their coverage of Cade on the PnR. No Ausar or Grimes again, so playing time should be 32+ mins. 8/L10 with 30+ mins, with two misses at 12.

PRO Insights

Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Heat logo The Heat have averaged 12.8 turnovers per game this season -- 8th-lowest in the NBA; the Pistons are 8-40 (.167) when they lose the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.
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Pistons logo

Pistons

DET Insights
  • Pistons logo The Pistons have allowed an eFG% of 52% in close and late situations this season -- T-7th-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Pistons Previews & Analysis

  • Our Staff's Best NBA Bets for Sunday article feature image

    Our Staff's Best NBA Bets for Sunday

    Action Network Staff
    Mar 17, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Pistons Public Betting Percentages

57%

Bets%

43%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pistons
9-7-14-45-3-12-47-3-1
Heat
6-71-45-33-43-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pistons
6-114-42-72-44-7
Heat
7-62-35-32-55-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pistons
7-10N/AN/A3-34-7
Heat
6-7N/AN/A4-32-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 15thMIAL 95-108+7.5 LU 217MIA +260
Mar 13thTORW 113-104-3.5 WU 233DET -160
Mar 11thCHAW 114-97-5 WU 217.5DET -200
Mar 10thDALL 124-142+9 LO 238DAL +310
Mar 8thBKNW 118-112+2.5 WO 215.5DET +114

Pistons vs. Heat Injury Updates

Pistons Injuries

  • Jalen Duren
    C

    Jalen Duren (ankle) available to play Tuesday.

    Probable

  • Ausar Thompson
    PF

    Thompson is out with illness

    Out

Heat Injuries

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.

    Out

Player Stats
  • scoring
    player logo
    -
    18
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Jalen Duren logo
    Jalen Duren
    10
    rpg
  • assists
    Cade Cunningham logo
    Cade Cunningham
    9
    apg
  • shooting
    Marcus Sasser logo
    Marcus Sasser
    60
    fg%
Team Stats
40-89 (45%)
Field Goals
38-83 (46%)
12-16 (75%)
Free Throws
11-14 (79%)
12-35 (34%)
3P
14-35 (40%)
47
Rebounds
44
24
Assists
24
Turnovers
7
Steals
4
2
Blocks
7
11
Fouls
19

Heat vs. Pistons Odds Comparison

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Heat at Pistons Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
6-7
o109.5-115
u109.5-115
Pistons
7-9
o104.5-110
u104.5-120