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Heat vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2024

Heat at Pistons

7:00 pm • BSDET

Miami Heat

33-29
104
104 - 101

Detroit Pistons

45-15
101

Heat at Pistons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
33-29
-5.5-106
o214-110
-218
Pistons
45-15
+5.5-113
u214-110
+180
location pinSunday 7:00 p.m.
March 17, 2024
Little Caesars ArenaDetroit
Heat vs. Pistons Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 35-33-2 (-0.6u)
Under 214-110
0.5u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 27-17-2 (+8.6u)
S.Fontecchio o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 62-59-1 (+3.3u)
S.Fontecchio o17.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1u
The Pistons take on the Miami Heat on Sunday and one player to target is a favorite of ours, Simone Fontecchio. Fontecchio has torched Miami twice this season for 22 and 24 points since he was traded to Detroit, even in the game he played with Utah, he scored 12 points but secured 7 rebounds as well. Miami is susceptible to the type of shot he takes, 3s and catch and shoot opportunities. Furthermore, Fontecchio can put the ball on the floor if needed and drive to the rack. Fontecchio has averaged 20.1 PR over his last 10 games but 25.8 against the Heat in four contests over the last two seasons with 19+ in each of the four. His rebounding floor is fairly high with the potential for spikes in both scoring and rebounding. I expect Fontecchio to exceed 17.5 PR.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 8-23-1 (-3.3u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Via @PropBetGuy . I played his points last game, going right back to it.

PRO Insights

Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Heat logo The Heat have averaged 12.8 turnovers per game this season -- 8th-lowest in the NBA; the Pistons are 8-40 (.167) when they lose the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.
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Pistons logo

Pistons

DET Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Pistons logo The Pistons have allowed an eFG% of 52% in close and late situations this season -- T-7th-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Pistons Previews & Analysis

  • Our Staff's Best NBA Bets for Sunday article feature image

    Our Staff's Best NBA Bets for Sunday

    Action Network Staff•
    Mar 17, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Pistons Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Heat

Public

Home Logo

Pistons

57%

Bets%

43%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Pistons are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Pistons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Pistons are 17-12 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pistons' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Pistons' 31 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pistons		32-2815-1617-1222-2710-1
Heat		36-25-117-1319-12-118-1418-11-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pistons		25-34-114-1711-17-120-28-15-6
Heat		31-3115-1516-1614-1817-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pistons		45-15N/AN/A35-1410-1
Heat		33-29N/AN/A20-1213-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 15thMIAL 95-108+7.5 LU 217MIA +260
Mar 13thTORW 113-104-3.5 WU 233DET -160
Mar 11thCHAW 114-97-5 WU 217.5DET -200
Mar 10thDALL 124-142+9 LO 238DAL +310
Mar 8thBKNW 118-112+2.5 WO 215.5DET +114

Heat vs. Pistons Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Rozier is out with gambling

    Out

  • Norman Powell
    SG

    Powell is out with groin

    Out

  • Andrew Wiggins
    SF

    Andrew Wiggins (knee) probable Tuesday.

    Probable

  • Nikola Jovic
    PF

    Nikola Jovic (back) out Saturday.

    Out

Pistons Injuries

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    Player Stats
    • scoring
      player logo
      -
      18
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Jalen Duren logo
      Jalen Duren
      10
      rpg
    • assists
      Cade Cunningham logo
      Cade Cunningham
      9
      apg
    • shooting
      Marcus Sasser logo
      Marcus Sasser
      60
      fg%
    Team Stats

    40-89 (45%)
    Field Goals
    38-83 (46%)
    12-16 (75%)
    Free Throws
    11-14 (79%)
    12-35 (34%)
    3P
    14-35 (40%)
    47
    Rebounds
    44
    24
    Assists
    24
    Turnovers
    7
    Steals
    4
    2
    Blocks
    7
    11
    Fouls
    19

    Heat vs. Pistons Odds Comparison

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    Heat at Pistons Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Heat
    33-29
    N/A
    N/A
    Pistons
    45-15
    N/A
    N/A