Heat vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2024
Heat at Pistons
7:00 pm • BSDETHeat at Pistons Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Heat 6-7 | -5.5-106 | o214-110 | -218 | |
Pistons 7-9 | +5.5-113 | u214-110 | +180 |
Sunday 7:00 p.m.
March 17, 2024Little Caesars ArenaDetroit
Heat vs. Pistons Expert Picks
Matt Moore
249d ago
Last 30d: 91-131-1 (-6.1u)
Under 214-110
0.5u
Markus Markets
249d ago
Last 30d: 85-81-3 (+35.8u)
S.Fontecchio o13.5 Pts-115
1u
Joe Dellera
249d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
S.Fontecchio o17.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1u
The Pistons take on the Miami Heat on Sunday and one player to target is a favorite of ours, Simone Fontecchio.
Fontecchio has torched Miami twice this season for 22 and 24 points since he was traded to Detroit, even in the game he played with Utah, he scored 12 points but secured 7 rebounds as well.
Miami is susceptible to the type of shot he takes, 3s and catch and shoot opportunities. Furthermore, Fontecchio can put the ball on the floor if needed and drive to the rack.
Fontecchio has averaged 20.1 PR over his last 10 games but 25.8 against the Heat in four contests over the last two seasons with 19+ in each of the four. His rebounding floor is fairly high with the potential for spikes in both scoring and rebounding.
I expect Fontecchio to exceed 17.5 PR.
Gilles Gallant
250d ago
Last 30d: 48-84-2 (+5.0u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.5u
Brian Matthews
250d ago
Last 30d: 8-15-1 (+3.1u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Via @PropBetGuy . I played his points last game, going right back to it.
Prop Bet Guy
250d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Fontecchio o12.5 Pts-125
1u
I’d take up to o13.5 at +100 for a full unit.
24 and 22 vs MIA in the last week - the spot up shooting effect is real. Plus, Miami won both games - I don’t see them shifting off of their coverage of Cade on the PnR.
No Ausar or Grimes again, so playing time should be 32+ mins. 8/L10 with 30+ mins, with two misses at 12.
PRO Insights
Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightThe Heat have averaged 12.8 turnovers per game this season -- 8th-lowest in the NBA; the Pistons are 8-40 (.167) when they lose the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.
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Pistons
DET Insights
- Featured InsightThe Pistons have allowed an eFG% of 52% in close and late situations this season -- T-7th-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Pistons Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Pistons Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Pistons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Pistons are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Pistons are 5-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pistons' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pistons' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pistons vs. Heat Injury Updates
Pistons Injuries
- Jalen DurenC
Jalen Duren (ankle) available to play Tuesday.
Probable
- Ausar ThompsonPF
Thompson is out with illness
Out
Heat Injuries
- Terry RozierPG
Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.
Out
Player Stats
- scoring-18ppg
- reboundingJalen Duren10rpg
- assistsCade Cunningham9apg
- shootingMarcus Sasser60fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Pistons Odds Comparison
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Heat at Pistons Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Heat 6-7 | o109.5-115 | u109.5-115 |
Pistons 7-9 | o104.5-110 | u104.5-120 |