The Chicago Cubs host the San Francisco Giants on June 6, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.
The Cubs are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Giants are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Giants vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Giants vs Cubs Prediction
- Giants vs Cubs Pick: Under 8
My Giants vs Cubs best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Cubs Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | +120 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | -142 |
- Giants vs Cubs moneyline: Giants +120, Cubs -142
- Giants vs Cubs over/under: 8.5 (-100 / -122)
- Giants vs Cubs spread: Cubs -1.5 (+140), Giants +1.5 (-170)
Giants vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
| Landen Roupp (RHP, SFG) | Stat | Ben Brown (RHP, CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 4.22 / 3.30 | ERA / xERA | 1.92 / 2.94 |
| 2.83 / 3.30 | FIP / xFIP | 2.24 /3.04 |
| 16.6% | K-BB% | 18.9% |
| 49.4% | GB% | 51.5% |
| .323 | BABIP | .244 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 107 | Location+ | 99 |
Giants vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview
All four weather sources I follow forecast temperatures around 75 degrees, with a 10- to 15-MPH wind blowing in from right field at Wrigley on Saturday afternoon.
Where they differ is the impact of those winds. They could have a moderately negative impact, or none at all.
Even assuming the latter, this park is an extremely negative run environment (90 Park Run Factor via Statcast) and should play pitcher-friendly.
Landon Roupp is coming off his worst start of the season in Milwaukee, with news breaking after the game that his back locked up on him. It does make some sense because, even allowing four runs in three of his previous five starts, he did so with a 20.7% K-BB, 5.6% Barrels/BBE, a 27.8% HardHit, and a .414 BABIP.
Assuming he wouldn’t be pitching if he weren’t healthy, I value Roupp around 3 1/2.
For last Saturday’s leadoff, I wrote how Ben Brown added a sinker to his repertoire, giving hitters something to look for in addition to fastball/curveball. The result has been a 22% K-BB through five starts.
Although he still has some issues with hard contact (50.8%), he’s generating 52.5% of his contact on the ground in his starts, while the wind should help circumvent the balls in the air.
Brown is not as good as his indicators around 3, but should remain at least a serviceable pitcher for the Cubs.
A wind blowing out game on Friday led to 21 runs, boosting the offenses, particularly for the Giants, who scored 18. I expect a lower-scoring game on Saturday.
Anything that stays in the park should play well for Brown and his .244 BABIP. Normally, that’s a sure candidate for regression, and it still is to some degree, but he has the best defense in the league behind him (22 Runs Prevented, 27 OAA). The Chicago projected defense has already accumulated 33 FRV.
Giants vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis
Under, as in thunder, and I only say that because there is a chance of rain.
For that reason and just to be cautious about Roupp’s back, I’m going to keep this smaller than I would prefer, also because the Giants have one of the worst bullpens in the league.
Pick: Under 8
