Rangers vs Dodgers Odds | Tuesday Prediction (6/11)
| Texas Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+142 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +1.5 -148 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-170 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -1.5 +124 |
It's not common to see betting totals of 9 at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium, but it seems fitting given Tuesday's starting pitching matchup.
Dane Dunning (4.09 ERA, 50 2/3 IP) will take on the Dodgers' high-powered offense, while James Paxton (4.19 ERA, 53 2/3 IP) will look to bounce back from a disastrous outing Wednesday in Pittsburgh.
Rangers vs Dodgers odds have the Dodgers as -162 moneyline favorites, with an over/under of 8.5 (-112o / -108u). Find my Rangers vs Dodgers prediction — a Wyatt Langford player prop — for the Tuesday series opener below.
Texas Rangers
The Rangers enter this matchup in the midst of the biggest slump in two years.
Since May 10, the Rangers own an 80 wRC+. They've played a number of those contests with several key bats out of the lineup.
However, some of their underlying metrics aren't all that bad. Over the past month, their 0.48 BB/K ratio ranks sixth among MLB lineups, and their 32.8% hard-hit rate ranks seventh.
It's unclear if Corey Seager will return to the lineup versus his former team, as he remains day-to-day with a hamstring injury. In 131 at-bats since the start of May, Seager owns a 1.022 OPS.
Wyatt Langford enters this matchup in good form, as he slugged .464 in June with a .774 OPS. Langford owns a .673 OPS against left-handed pitching this season, but a .727 OPS against southpaws since May 28.
Dunning has been hit hard in recent outings and could certainly struggle against the Dodgers lineup in this matchup. In his last three starts, Dunning has allowed a 49% hard-hit rate with a meager 24% strikeout rate. His xERA is up to 5.27, and his xFIP is up to 3.74.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been the fourth-best offense in the league against right-handed pitching this season. Over the last two weeks, they've posted a 115 wRC+ against the side.
Los Angeles may need to lean on its potent lineup on Tuesday, as Paxton looks bad. He's allowed a 42% hard-hit rate and a 13% walk rate over his past three outings.
Paxton's xERA has ballooned to 5.34, and his xFIP is up to 5.38. His 1.10 K/BB ratio is the lowest among qualified NL starting pitchers.
Paxton has struck out only 13% of right-handed batters faced with a .428 slugging against, adding up to a 5.94 xFIP against the side.
Rangers vs. Dodgers
Betting Pick & Prediction
After finally authoring a full-fledged blow-up last time out, Paxton's ERA is a slightly more accurate depiction of his season, but he is still far worse than a 4.19 ERA suggests.
With that said, he is starting to be priced like a number five starter, so it's becoming a little more difficult to fade him.
The one angle that sticks out in terms of a fade on Paxton is backing Langford to hit for power in this matchup.
Langford features significant lefty-righty splits, and Paxton is getting crushed by righties this season.
We have the right number to target the highly touted rookie continuing his strong month of June.
Pick: Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 Total Bases +150 (Bet365)
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