PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite MLB plays of the day and will track all his bets in the Action Network app.
Read below for his top MLB player prop pick for Red Sox-White Sox on Thursday, June 6.
MLB Player Prop Pick: Thursday June 6
- Tanner Houck (BOS) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Tanner Houck (BOS) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Red Sox vs. White Sox | 8:10 p.m. ET
In his second full season as a member of their starting rotation, Tanner Houck has emerged as an ace for the Red Sox. In his first 12 starts, Houck is pitching to a 1.85 ERA, and only allowed 60 hits across 78 innings.
Houck has stayed under this line in eight of his 12 starts. His pitch mix primarily consists of a slider, sinker and split-fingered fastball; all three rating above average in terms of Stuff+ (per FanGraphs).
What’s kept Houck particularly effective this season is his elite groundball rate. At 54.2%, he ranks in the 90th percentile of pitchers, with a 5.1% launch angle, well below the major league average of 12.2% (per Baseball Savant).
That should come in particularly handy today against the White Sox. The south-siders as a team are hitting an awful .176 against ground-ball pitchers (per Baseball Reference).
With the White Sox embroiled in a 13-game losing streak, it should come as no surprise that their offense has been anemic of late.
Against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks, Chicago is hitting .201. Thirteen of the last 20 right-handed starters have stayed under this line against the White Sox (injuries excluded).
I have Houck projected to only surrender five hits tonight, making this one of my favorite looks on today’s slate.
Pick: Tanner Houck (BOS) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
