MLB NRFI Picks & Predictions for Mets vs Brewers Game 2

MLB NRFI Picks & Predictions for Mets vs Brewers Game 2 article feature image
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Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Frankie Montas.

The MLB playoffs continue on Wednesday, October 2, with Wild Card Series Game 2s throughout the day. I have come through with MLB NRFI picks based on my model.

I've only found one NRFI pick with value today, and that's on Mets vs Brewers Game 2 at American Family Field.

MLB NRFI Picks & Predictions for Mets vs Brewers Game 2

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Billy Ward's Mets vs Brewers NRFI Pick for Game 2

Cubs Logo
Wednesday, Oct. 2
7:38 p.m. ET
ESPN
Phillies Logo
NRFI -130 (Play to -140)
DraftKings Logo

Starting Pitchers: LHP Sean Manaea (NYM) vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Both starting pitchers have first time through the order ERAs around 2.60, substantially better than their overall marks.

More importantly, the top of the Mets and Brewers' lineups aren’t especially strong against the types of pitchers they’re facing. Three of the Brewer’s first four projected hitters have significantly worse numbers against lefties, with the lone exception being catcher William Contreras.

The Mets are facing a righty, and by and large, hit lefties better. Brandon Nimmo is the only exception among the first four hitters, and he has a .325 wOBA against RHP compared to .322 against LHP.

All of which means the 7.5 run total is likely to get there later in the game, if at all.

Mets vs Brewers Prediction, Picks, Odds for Wild Card Game 2 on Wednesday, October 2 Image

About the Author
Billy Ward has been passionate about fantasy sports since the 1990s and pursued a career as an MMA fighter, turning pro at 21 before returning to college to finish his degree. He has notable achievements in fantasy sports and DFS, including qualifying for the DraftKings UFC DFS world championship and five-figure wins in NFL DFS and best ball. Now a member of the Action Network’s predictive analytics team, Billy specializes in NFL, MLB, and combat sports, managing DFS player projection models and contributing to podcasts and live betting shows.

Follow Billy Ward @Psychoward586 on Twitter/X.

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