We have a 10-game slate on Thursday, with a bevy of afternoon games, which has presented us with some early bangers to capitalize on.
Read on for my Home Run Picks Today for Thursday, May 7.
MLB Home Run Picks
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 2:10 p.m. | |
| 2:20 p.m. | |
| 6:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Guardians vs. Royals Home Run Prop
Carter Jensen
Over 0.5 HRs (+450)
This is a great spot for the Royals.
Slade Cecconi has been an absolute gas can for power in his career, allowing a massive 1.61 HR/9 to lefties and 1.84 HR/9 to righties.
The weather in KC should be good for hitting, with winds blowing out at 13 mph.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Carter Jensen Over 0.5 HRs (+450)
Reds vs. Cubs HR Pick
Elly De La Cruz
Over 0.5 HRs (+500)
The wind is howling out at Wrigley Field around 10-15 mph, and even with cool temps, the ball should be flying.
Shota Imanaga has been an absolute gas can for righty power in his career, allowing a massive 1.67 HR/9.
Elly has a ton of power, and I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 HRs (+500)
Athletics vs. Phillies Homer Pick
Brent Rooker
Over 0.5 HRs (+440)
This is an average spot, which makes these odds too high.
Brent Rooker is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and Andrew Painter is an above-average matchup for righty power.
This ballpark isn't bad, and the weather should be only a slight downgrade to power.
I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Brent Rooker Over 0.5 HRs (+440)
