Congrats, you've made it to Friday.
And I've got some bangers.
Check out my 4 home run picks today, including bets for Yankees vs Mets, Giants vs Athletics, and more for Friday, May 15.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 8:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Pick
This is strictly a price play.
The matchup is bad against Cam Schlittler, who has been well below average against lefty power in his career, but he's due for some negative regression.
The weather should be below average, but that's not nearly enough to justify Soto's odds.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +450.
Pick: Juan Soto Home Run
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Cubs vs White Sox Home Run Pick
Suzuki started the season a little rough, but he has been great over the last month, with 7 bombs.
The spot is a little bit below average, but these odds are great.
The weather should be a bit of a downgrade for righty power, with wind blowing slightly in at 13 MPH, but Sean Burke has been a plus matchup in his career for righty power (1.35 HR/9).
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +375.
Pick: Seiya Suzuki Home Run
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Diamondbacks vs Rockies Home Run Pick
Moniak has been unreal this season, and even though these odds are a bit low, they aren't low enough given the spot.
The matchup against Merrill Kelly is a plus for lefty power, and Coors Field is one of the best ballparks in the league for power.
The weather should be great for hitting, with winds blowing out at 8 MPH and temperatures in the low-80s.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +250.
Pick: Mickey Moniak Home Run
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Giants vs Athletics Home Run Pick
This is a great spot, and these odds are far too high.
The weather in Sacramento should be some of the best we've seen all season, with temperatures near 90 degrees and wind blowing out at five MPH.
The matchup against Tyler Mahle is a plus for power, as he's allowed a career 1.30 HR/9 and has been even worse this season.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +250.
Pick: Nick Kurtz Home Run
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