Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks, Odds for Saturday, September 21

Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks, Odds for Saturday, September 21 article feature image
Credit:

Megan Briggs/Getty Images. Pictured: Shohei Ohtani #17 of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Colorado Rockies (59-95) and Los Angeles Dodgers (92-62) continue their series on Saturday night at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET.

The Dodgers enter Saturday tied with the Phillies for the best record in the National League. Their magic number to clinch the NL West is five games. Find out why I think that number will dwindle by the end of the night in my Rockies vs Dodgers prediction below.

Cal Quantrill will be tasked with shutting down the Dodgers red-hot offense on Saturday, which could be a tall order for a pitcher sporting a 6.16 ERA since the All-Star break, and a 4.99 ERA on the road. Quantrill will be opposed by Walker Buehler, who has stabilized to a more respectable level of late for a Dodgers side in dire need of starters to step up right now.


Header First Logo
Header Second Logo

Rockies-Dodgers Predictions

  • Rockies-Dodgers picks: Dodgers -1.5 (-125 | Play to -135)

My Rockies-Dodgers best bet is on Dodgers run line (-1.5), where I see value at -135. The best line is available at Caesars, as well as other sportsbooks — make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Rockies Logo
Saturday, Sept. 21
9:10 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Dodgers Logo
Rockies Odds
MoneylineOver/UnderRun Line
+228
9
+100o / -122u
+1.5
-105
Dodgers Odds
MoneylineOver/UnderRun Line
-285
9
+100o / -122u
-1.5
-125
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
Caesars Sportsbook Logo
  • Rockies-Dodgers Moneyline: Rockies +228 | Dodgers -285
  • Rockies-Dodgers Over/Under: 9 (+100o / -122u)
  • Rockies-Dodgers Run Line: Rockies +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

Rockies vs Dodgers Probable Starting Pitchers

RHP Cal Quantrill (COL)StatRHP Walker Buehler (LAD)
8-10W-L1-5
0.8fWAR (FanGraphs)-0.3
4.68/5.12ERA /xERA5.54/5.02
5.11/4.82FIP / xFIP5.89/4.67
1.47WHIP1.62
6.8%K-BB%9.3%
43.6%GB%43.6%
91Stuff+94
96Location+102

Check out our MLB Betting Hub for more previews from today's slate.

Nick Martin’s Rockies vs Dodgers Preview

Header First Logo

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview: Rocky Road for Cal Quantrill

It's been an ugly finish to the year for Quantrill, who has put up a 6.16 ERA over his last 38 innings pitched, with an xFIP of 5.79. He returned from the injured list Sunday versus the Cubs, and was not particularly sharp allowing four hits and two earned runs in just two and a third innings of work.

In his last five starts Quantrill has been hard hit 47% of the time and allowed an xBA of .294. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 92 in that span.

Quantrill's struggles go beyond simply suffering at Coors Field, as he has actually fared slightly worse overall on the road this season (4.99 ERA).

Since August 1st the Rockies rank 30th in MLB with a wRC+ of 81 versus right-handed pitching. They have struck-out more than anybody else in that span (28.6%).

Premium Picks & Betting Analysis!
Best bets for every game
Massive player prop edges
Expert article analysis

Header First Logo

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Ohtani Leads Resurgent Lineup

The Dodgers likely aren't keen to have Buehler starting games this postseason, but it's not out of the realm of possibility given all the injuries among the starting staff. He looks to be trending in the right direction at least, as he holds a 4.74 ERA across his last five starts.

In those outings Buehler holds a Pitching+ rating of 101, and an xFIP of 4.85.

Shohei Ohtani's incredible recent play is garnering a lot of the headlines, but the Dodgers lineup has altogether been dominant of late. Over the last 14 days the Dodgers hold a wRC+ of 140, and rank first in BB/K at 0.51.

Over the last month of play the Dodgers have hit to a wRC+ of 123 against right-handed pitching, and Rank first in BB/K at 0.51 in that span.


Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis

Buehler has been taking steps in the right direction recently, and gets to face arguably the softest lineup in baseball in this matchup. He's far from the pitcher he once was, but Buehler still looks to offer a clear edge over Quantrill right now given his improved form.

Quantrill gets the drastically tougher matchup facing an offense averaging 6.3 runs per game over the last month, and is backed by a middling bullpen.

This looks like a good spot to lay it with the Dodgers as a huge favorite. Even at -125 to cover the run-line I see value backing L.A. to win comfortably.

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -125 (Bet365, Play to -135)


Moneyline

The Dodgers are 49-26 at home this season. The Dodgers are 86-48 as a favorite.

The Rockies are 23-56 on the road this season. The Rockies are 56-93 as an underdog.


Run Line (Spread)

The Dodgers are 41-34 ATS at home. The Dodgers are 72-62 ATS as a favorite.

The Rockies are 35-44 ATS on the road. The Rockies are 73-76 ATS as an underdog.


Over/Under

Totals are 43-29-3 (O/U) when Los Angeles is home this season. Totals are 76-54-4 when Los Angeles is a favorite.

Totals are 42-37 when the Colorado is the road team. Totals are 73-75-1 (O/U) when Colorado is an underdog.


Rockies vs Dodgers Betting Trends

97% of the bets and 87% of the money is on the Dodgers moneyline. 92% of the bets and 90% of the money is on the over. 92% of the bets and 97% of the money is on the Dodgers to cover the run-line.


Rockies Betting Trends

  • The Rockies are 2-3 in their last five games
  • The Rockies are 4-6 in their last ten road games
  • The total has gone OVER in two of the last five Rockies games

DodgersBetting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last five games
  • The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last ten home games
  • The total has gone OVER in the last five Dodgers games

Rockies vs Dodgers Weather

Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
About the Author
Nick Martin is a writer for The Action Network's NHL and MLB verticals, and is a co-host of Action's Line Change hockey podcast. Before becoming a full-time writer and handicapper, he acquired numerous personal and group training certifications and worked full-time in the fitness and recreation fields.

Follow Nick Martin @nickm_hockey on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.