The New York Yankees (36-23) host the Cleveland Guardians (36-27) on June 4, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -164 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+120) on the run line. The Guardians are +138 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-142) on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs (-118 / -105).
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Yankees Predictions, Pick
- Guardians vs Yankees Pick: Under 8.5 (-112)
My Guardians vs Yankees best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds, Spread, and Total
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -142 | 8.5 -118o / -105u | +138 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 8.5 -118o / -105u | -164 |
- Guardians vs Yankees moneyline: Guardians +142, Yankees -168
- Guardians vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Guardians vs Yankees spread: Guardians +1.5 (-144), Yankees -1.5 (+120)
Guardians vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Slade Cecconi (RHP, CLE) | Stat | Carlos Rodon (LHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 5.25 / 4.61 | ERA / xERA | 3.32 / 3.17 |
| 4.49 / 4.30 | FIP / xFIP | 3.88 / 4.40 |
| 11.0% | K-BB% | 8.6% |
| 44.7% | GB% | 52.2% |
| .332 | BABIP | .239 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 100 | Location+ | 85 |
Guardians vs Yankees Expert MLB Picks
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability, yet these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution — leading to a profitable edge on the Under.
How To Bet My Guardians vs Yankees Pick & Best Bet
Carlos Rodon has pitched OK through his first four starts. The stuff is there, but he’s really struggling with command (16% walk rate, 85 Location+). If he can corral the free passes, everything should go back to normal.
His second start this season at Yankee Stadium is a good spot for Rodon to bounce back.
Slade Cecconi isn’t a world-beater, but he’s due for plenty of positive regression (5.25 ERA, 4.30 xERA). The Guardians have a top-10 bullpen (by fWAR) and are typically good on defense.
However, the most important aspect of this handicap might be Aaron Judge's status. He’s dealing with a bone bruise, making his immediate and medium-term availability murky.
I don’t expect Judge to be in the lineup on Thursday, and I would aggressively downgrade New York’s lineup as a result. Judge has missed time over the past few seasons, and the Yanks often really struggle in the batter’s box without the three-time MVP.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-112)
