The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs on July 12, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.
The Cubs are favored by -126 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cubs vs Reds Prediction
- Cubs vs Reds Pick: Reds ML
My Cubs vs Reds best bet is on the Reds. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cubs vs Reds Odds
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -126 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | +108 |
- Cubs vs Reds moneyline: Cubs -126, Reds +108
- Cubs vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-118 / -104)
- Cubs vs Reds spread: Cubs -1.5 (+128), Reds +1.5 (-154)
Cubs vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Matthew Boyd (LHP, CHC) | Stat | Andrew Abbott (LHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 5-5 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 4.31 / 4.56 | ERA / xERA | 3.92 / 4.80 |
| 3.26 / 3.49 | FIP / xFIP | 4.90 / 4.77 |
| 19.0% | K-BB% | 8.2% |
| 40.9% | GB% | 40.8% |
| .340 | BABIP | .274 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 111 | Location+ | 101 |
Cubs vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
The Reds and Cubs will duke it out on Sunday afternoon to conclude a three-game set at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Matthew Boyd will take the mound for Chicago, while Andrew Abbott will start for Cincinnati.
Abbott has been fine this year, running a 3.92 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Boyd has been slightly worse, with a 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP — although he’s pitched well over his past few starts.
Cubs vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
That said, I ultimately think Cincinnati has the advantage in this matchup.
Abbott is really good against Southpaws (career .277 wOBA allowed), which will really help him neutralize the three or four lefties in Chicago’s lineup. For example, Pete Crow-Armstrong is a lefty, and he’s 0-for-11 lifetime against Abbott.
Meanwhile, Boyd will have to face off against eight right-handed hitters, and he has severe splits (career .332 wOBA allowed to righties, .284 wOBA allowed to lefties).
Pick: Reds ML
