Brewers vs Angels Odds: Tuesday Moneyline Prediction
| Milwaukee Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-155 | 9 -115o / -105u | -1.5 +105 |
| Los Angeles Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+125 | 9 -115o / -105u | +1.5 -125 |
With a number of key pitchers on the Injured List, Tobias Myers has been offered a chance to work as a regular starter for the Brewers. He has made the most of his opportunity lately, pitching to a 2.78 ERA over his past four starts. He'll be opposed by Griffin Canning, who has a 4.30 home ERA, and the Angels on Tuesday night.
Brewers vs Angels odds have the Brewers installed as -155 moneyliney favorites with an over/under of 9 (-115o / -105u).
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers had their lead NL Central lead cut to 5.5 games last night as the Cardinals stayed hot with an extra-innings victory. It's still a highly favorable spot to be in, but Milwaukee does have a lengthy list of injured pitchers, including Brandon Woodruff Devin Williams.
Myers could see a prolonged stint in the rotation if he can keep up his recent form. Myers owns a Stuff+ rating of 93 and a Location+ rating of 101 this season.
Myers has thrown first-pitch strikes 78% of the time over his past two starts and has generated a two-strike chase percentage of 48%.
Whether Myers will be able to work with William Contreras behind the plate in this matchup remains unclear. Contreras was involved in a collision at home plate Sunday and didn't play in yesterday's contest, though he was available off of the bench. Gary Sanchez caught Myers on May 26th in Boston, and Myers allowed one earned run across four innings.
Over the past 30 days, the Brewers have hit to a 102 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching, with a .705 OPS. Those marks are considerably worse than their season long splits, as they own a 114 wRC+ against right-handed pitching on the season.
Los Angeles Angels
Griffin Canning's 86 Stuff+ rating and 97 Location+ rating are both considerably lesser marks than he held in 2023, when he pitched to a 4.32 ERA across 127 innings. Therefore, it's no surprise to see Canning's xERA has risen to 5.00 and his xFIP has climbed to 4.99.
Canning's K/BB ratio has also gotten considerably worse at 1.85, the sixth-lowest mark among qualified starters in MLB this season.
Los Angeles' bullpen has pitched to highly concerning results of late and owns a league-worst 5.22 xFIP and a 6.14 ERA over the past 30 days.
The Angels' offense has hit to mediocre results against right-handed pitching over the past month. They own a 20th-ranked wRC+ (94) and have generated hard contact just 31.1% of the time.
Brewers vs. Angels
Betting Pick & Prediction
Myers enters this matchup in solid form and will get a great opportunity to earn another quality start against an Angels side with anemic splits against right-handed pitching. Myers' underlying results suggest he could be a solid back-of-the-rotation arm, which is more than we can say about Canning right now.
The Brewers are the superior defensive team and have the much better offensive splits relative to this game. With Myers also offering a starting pitching edge, it looks like the Brewers deserve to be a larger favorite in this matchup.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -140 (Bet365, Play to -145)
