The New York Mets not only swept the New York Yankees, but they outright embarrassed them. The Mets are coming off a 2-0 sweep in the Bronx and finished their season series against the Yankees 4-0.
Now, the Mets quickly turn around and take a subway ride back to Flushing, Queens where they'll host the Atlanta Braves. The Braves lost the first game of their doubleheader against the Reds yesterday, and the second game was postponed.
Chris Sale will be on the mound for the Braves and Luis Severino will start for the Mets. I was able to compile a small, three-leg same-game parlay that pays out at almost 6-1 odds on DraftKings, so let's get into this Braves vs. Mets MLB parlay.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
Braves vs Mets MLB Parlay: Thursday SGP Picks
- Alternate F5 Under 3.5 (+105)
- Under 7.5 (-115)
- Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Parlay Odds: +581 (DraftKings)
Alternate F5 Under 3.5 (+105)
Sale is having a remarkable season for the Braves, but has struggled against some of the Mets' hitters in the past. The Mets are batting .326 against Sale lifetime — an astonishing number.
But, I am not going to let those numbers sway me as I think this is a great spot to take an alternate F5 under. The Mets are coming off a 12-run offensive explosion where they smashed five home runs.
Meanwhile, the Braves offense is dead in the water as of late, and I have a feeling we could see some rusty and tired bats after a couple of odd weather days. The Braves aren't the same team without Ronald Acuna Jr., Ozzie Albies, and Michael Harris, especially since Matt Olson and Austin Riley are having off years.
Severino has been more than serviceable for the Mets and I expect a strong outing from him at home.
Full Game Under 7.5 (-115)
We are correlating the second leg of the parlay with the first one. There seems to be a minimal amount of people who believe this game is going to be low scoring, but that hasn't stopped a ton of sharp money from coming through on the under.
Severino isn't generating as many whiffs or chases as he did in the past, but he is doing a great job at limiting hard contact. He also has a 48% ground-ball rate and draws a terrific matchup against the Braves.
It's odd to say the Braves are a great matchup for pitchers, but that's the reality with all of their injuries and underperformers. The one outlier for this leg is the Mets bullpen, which has been shaky all season.
The Braves have the second-lowest bullpen ERA in baseball, so after Sale, there should be no hiccups from Atlanta. The Mets' bats should cool down against Sale, and it's hard to trust any of Atlanta's hitters right now.
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Francisco Lindor has entered the MVP conversation as of late, and although he will not surpass Shohei Ohtani, it's worth mentioning how terrific he's been. Lindor has mashed Sale in the past as he's 14-for-31 with multiple extra-base hits against Atlanta's lefty.
Sale is having a CY-Young-esque season, but Lindor is on an absolute tear right now. I might be a sucker falling for the value here, but there is no way I can pass up +115 odds given the circumstances.
