The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on May 19, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Rivalry Weekend did not go as expected for the Dodgers as they were swept by the cross-town Angels. The Dodgers will look to bounce back on Monday against the Diamondbacks. This is just the third divisional series all year for the Dodgers — they split a four-game set with Arizona earlier this month.
Find my Diamondbacks vs Dodgers prediction and preview for this Monday night NL West clash below.
My Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers picks: Dodgers Moneyline (-136; Play to -150)
My Diamondbacks vs Dodgers best bet is the Dodgers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -162 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | +120 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -142 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | Stat | RHP Landon Knack (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.73 / 5.66 | ERA /xERA | 5.89 / 5.01 |
| 4.43 / 3.87 | FIP / xFIP | 4.36 / 4.74 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.53 |
| 14.4% | K-BB% | 14.6% |
| 43.2% | GB% | 37% |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 104 | Location+ | 96 |
Mike Ianniello’s Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview: Pfaadt Consistently Inconsistent
Brandon Pfaadt has been one of the most difficult pitchers to handicap over the last three years.
For the first two seasons of his career, he was consistently unlucky and he seemed to be constantly waiting for positive regression to come. We saw flashes of brilliance during Arizona's 2023 postseason run, but he had an ERA more than a run higher than his xERA in each of 2023 and 2024.
This season, however, the story has reversed.
Pfaadt is pitching to a 3.73 ERA, but his xERA is up at 5.66. His strikeout rate is the lowest it has been in his career, and he is allowing a 47% hard-hit rate. His best start of the season came against the Dodgers, but they will be seeing him for the second time in 12 days, which usually doesn't bode well.
Despite missing the playoffs last season, Arizona quietly had the best offense in baseball. The Diamondbacks remain near the top of the sport again this year, ranking third in OPS and top five in runs and home runs.
After a slow start to last year, Corbin Carroll has put himself firmly in the early MVP conversation with 14 home runs and a .941 OPS.
Ketel Marte is back from injury, Eugenio Suarez has 14 home runs himself, and offseason acquisition Josh Naylor is off to a great start in the desert.
This team is as dangerous as any at the plate.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Offense Humming
After making the Opening Day roster last year, Landon Knack was only needed for 15 appearances after making his MLB debut, but he showed promising results when he was called up. Knack made 12 starts and finished the year with a 3.65 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 69 innings. Nice.
So far this season, the results have not been so nice.
Knack has a 5.89 ERA in four starts. His biggest issue has been consistency as he recently followed up a five-inning shutout performance with a five-run outing.
The right-hander still has good strikeout stuff, but he has had issues locating pitches and has allowed a ton of hard contact. Knack’s slider was his best pitch last season, but it has been crushed this year and is almost unusable at the moment.
As good as Arizona has been at the plate, it is looking up at the Dodgers. Los Angeles leads the league in OPS and has scored the most runs of any team. The Dodgers sit second in home runs, and they have gotten better as the season has progressed.
Shohei Ohtani appears to be on his way to another MVP campaign, leading the league with 16 home runs. He already has nine dingers in May.
Freddie Freeman (1.097) and Ohtani (1.073) rank second and third in OPS, respectively, trailing only the Yankees' Aaron Judge (1.241).
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
For two years, Pfaadt was a bet-on positive regression candidate. He got unlucky and underperformed his xERA in 2023 and 2024.
The good news is he finally has a strong ERA at 3.73. But now his expected metrics have gone the other way. Pfaadt has a 5.66 xERA and could be due for negative regression.
Pfaadt has allowed at least four runs in two of the last three starts and is allowing a 47% hard-hit rate. His strikeout numbers are down, and his fastball is getting hit hard and due to get him in trouble. Pfaadt pitched well against the Dodgers earlier this month but now they will get to see him for the second time in 12 days.
Knack has been inconsistent as well, but his xERA is actually lower than Pfaadt's. Knack has done a better job at missing bats, and he has a terrific changeup. Notably, Arizona ranks just 19th against changeups.
As good as the Snakes are offensively, the Dodgers are one of the only teams that has an advantage of them. Even after a slow start by its standards and expectations, Los Angeles has been mashing the ball recently, averaging 6.6 runs per game with an .888 OPS over the last two weeks.
Coming off a disappointing sweep at the hands of the Angels, look for the Dodgers to bounce back on Monday.
Pick: Dodgers Moneyline -136 (Bet to -150)
Moneyline
My best bet is on the Dodgers on Monday night.
Run Line (Spread)
Pass
Over/Under
Pass
