Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Yankees at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN

New York Yankees

8-6

2 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9
L.Gil			3.50	15-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	+1.5-161	o8.5-105	+127
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+135	u8.5-115	-152

Wednesday 10:35 p.m.

May 01, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 4.5 (F5)-115

L.Gil o5.5 Ks-135

1.35u

Featured Insight
Yankees have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 36% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- third lowest in MLB (190 games). The Yankees have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (192 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
May 1, 2024 UTC
3 MLB Player Props for Wednesday
Doug Ziefel•
May 1, 2024 UTC

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The Yankees are 62-18 (.775) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

The Orioles are 39-3 (.929) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Yankees are 66-39 (.629) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .589.

Aaron Judge has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 9 of 41 batters (22%) versus the top of the order this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 9% -- first Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (186/296) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 11 of 69 right-handed batters (16%) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	NYY	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	BAL +109
Apr 29th	NYY	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -135
Apr 28th	ATH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATH -205
Apr 27th	ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -194
Apr 26th	ATH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -290

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Gil, P	95	6.1	5
LC.Ferguson, P	7	0.2	2
RI.Hamilton, P	10	0.1	0
RC.Holmes, P	23	1.2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Judge, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rizzo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Torres, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-3	1	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	2-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	95	6	6	2
RM.Baumann, P	24	2	1	0
RY.Ramirez, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Cowser, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8H.Kjerstad, RF	1-2	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Santander, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	0-0	0	0	0