Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 15, 2023

Reds at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Cincinnati Reds

74-74

5 - 3

New York Mets

76-73

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
H.Greene			4.82	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 74-74	-1.5+161	o8-105	-105
Mets 76-73	+1.5-192	u8-110	-115

Friday 11:10 p.m.

September 15, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

CIN +100

0.5u

Bet to -104

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -113

CIN -106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -111

Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 21% over the last two weeks -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Reds have a strikeout rate of just 22% over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Reds Left Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against RHP since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Sep 15, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

30% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 33% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (65/186) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 99th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has averaged 98.7 MPH on fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 32-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Mets' 74 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	67-82	35-39	32-43	42-62	25-20
Reds	76-70	38-34	38-36	27-36	49-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	70-73-6	37-35-2	33-38-4	50-48-6	20-25
Reds	54-83-9	25-41-6	29-42-3	19-41-3	34-42-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	76-73	45-29	31-44	58-46	18-27
Reds	74-74	39-33	34-40	34-29	39-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 14th	ARI	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM -115
Sep 13th	ARI	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +134
Sep 12th	ARI	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -120
Sep 11th	ARI	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ARI -130
Sep 10th	@MIN	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +150

Jesse Winker
OF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
P
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
P
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Noelvi Marte
IF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
P
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
P
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	98	5.2	6	3
RL.Sims, P	16	0.1	0	0
RI.Gibaut, P	27	1.1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	22	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-5	1	1	2
2N.Senzel, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
4H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Marte, SS	3-4	1	0	0
7T.Friedl, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	95	5.2	10	2
RG.Hartwig, P	34	1.2	3	2
RD.Smith, P	15	0.2	0	0
RP.Bickford, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3D.Stewart, RF	2-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Mauricio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Ortega, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-3	0	0	0