Reds vs Mets Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - September 15, 2023

Reds at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Cincinnati Reds

43-51

5 - 3

New York Mets

40-56

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
H.Greene			4.82	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 43-51	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mets 40-56	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:10 p.m.

September 15, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

CIN +100

0.5u

Bet to -104

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -113

CIN -106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -111

NYM -102

0.51u

Greene has less than 1/4 run on Peterson - NYM 108/104/140 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, CIN 98/96/96 - NYM better defense - pens about even - giving NYM a slightly larger edge at home

Featured Insight
Mets have struck out just 21% over the last two weeks -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Reds have a strikeout rate of just 22% over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Reds Left Handed Hitters have struck out 23% against RHP since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Model Picks For Friday
Billy Ward•
Sep 15, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

30% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 33% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (65/186) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 99th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has averaged 98.7 MPH on fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 20-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Mets' 48 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	39-57	19-29	20-28	25-37	14-20
Reds	50-44	24-25	26-19	15-13	35-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	45-46-5	26-18-4	19-28-1	30-29-3	15-17-2
Reds	52-41-1	26-23	26-18-1	18-10	34-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	40-56	21-27	19-29	31-31	9-25
Reds	43-51	22-27	21-24	16-12	27-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 14th	ARI	W 11-1	-	-	-
Sep 13th	ARI	W 7-1	-	-	-
Sep 12th	ARI	W 7-4	-	-	-
Sep 11th	ARI	L 3-4	-	-	-
Sep 10th	@MIN	W 2-0	-	-	-

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	98	5.2	6	3
RL.Sims, P	16	0.1	0	0
RI.Gibaut, P	27	1.1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	22	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-5	1	1	2
2N.Senzel, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
4H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Marte, SS	3-4	1	0	0
7T.Friedl, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	95	5.2	10	2
RG.Hartwig, P	34	1.2	3	2
RD.Smith, P	15	0.2	0	0
RP.Bickford, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3D.Stewart, RF	2-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Mauricio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Ortega, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, DH	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-3	0	0	0