Red Sox vs. Athletics Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2024

Red Sox at Athletics

7:37 pm • NBCS-CA

Boston Red Sox

14-12

1 - 0

Athletics

11-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Stripling			6.01	2-11
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 14-12	-1.5-102	o7.5-106	-170
Athletics 11-13	+1.5-118	u7.5-113	+142

Wednesday 7:37 p.m.

April 03, 2024

Oakland ColiseumOakland

BOS -1.5-105

1.05u

BOS -1.5+100

N.Pivetta o8.5 Ks+102

0.5u

Over 8-104

Don't think we should see totals this low with the A's bullpen. 5 of 6 A's games so far have featured 8-plus runs, and with their bullpen as bad as it is, I'd expect that to continue. Neither starter is bad (Pivetta is quite good), and it's only 58 degrees. But I still think 8 undersells how bad this A's bullpen is.

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored 2.6 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB (330 games). The Athletics have allowed 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB (330 games).

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The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Brent Rooker struck out in 33% of PA's last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Nick Pivetta had a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

J.D. Davis had an OPS of just .398 with two strikes last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Nick Pivetta allowed an OPS of just .378 (360 PAs) with two strikes last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 50% (8/16) against Nick Pivetta this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Athletics are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Athletics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Athletics are 9-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Athletics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Athletics' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	14-10	5-6	9-4	5-3	9-7
Red Sox	13-13	6-7	7-6	9-10	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Athletics	11-9-4	7-4	4-5-4	3-3-2	8-6-2
Red Sox	11-14-1	6-6-1	5-8	7-11-1	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Athletics	11-13	3-8	8-5	5-3	6-10
Red Sox	14-12	8-5	6-7	11-8	3-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	BOS	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS +124
Apr 2nd	BOS	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS +136
Mar 31st	CLE	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ATH +102
Mar 30th	CLE	L 3-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +110
Mar 30th	CLE	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8	CLE +113

Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out
Zack Gelof
IF
Gelof is out with hand
Out
Brett Harris
IF
Harris is out with oblique
Out
Brady Basso
P
Basso is out with shoulder
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RN.Pivetta, P	90	5	3
LJ.Rodriguez, P	12	0.2	0
RJ.Slaten, P	10	1.1	0
RC.Martin, P	20	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	21	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	4-4	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0
3T.Story, SS	0-3	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	1
8R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0
9W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Stripling, P	85	7	3	1
LT.McFarland, P	12	1	0	0
RM.Kelly, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Noda, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
2Z.Gelof, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Bleday, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Davis, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
4D.Hernaiz, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4D.Hernaiz, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5S.Brown, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Brown, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Rooker, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7K.McCann, C	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Langeliers, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8T.Nevin, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Butler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Butler, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Toro, PH	0-1	0	0	0