Rays vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2023

Rays at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Tampa Bay Rays

34-30

3 - 0

Miami Marlins

24-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 34-30	-1.5+140	o7.5-105	-126
Marlins 24-38	+1.5-170	u7.5-115	+105

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 30, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

TB -1.5+143

1.43u

J.Luzardo o4.5 Hits Allowed-125

1.25u

MGM. Luzardo over in 18/26 games, incl 9/13 against teams in the top half of batting average vs lefties (TB is 7th at .266). I like the matchup here, because the Rays swing a ton - 7th highest swing rate and 5th highest chase rate, which should combat any potential issues Luzardo has with control.

MIA +105

MLB NRFI Bet for Wednesday: Bet Gray & Luzardo
Shayne Trail•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC
Best Bets from Wednesday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC

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The Rays are 70-2 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rays are 16-11 (.593) after a road loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .711 with two strikes this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .599 (357 PAs) with two strikes this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (346/574) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 20 of 573 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 16-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	32-30	16-18	16-12	2-7	29-23
Rays	32-32	18-24	14-8	14-21	18-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	34-28	17-17	17-11	4-5	30-22
Rays	24-37-3	15-24-3	9-13	11-21-3	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	24-38	14-20	10-18	4-5	20-32
Rays	34-30	22-20	12-10	20-15	14-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	TB	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8	TB -120
Aug 27th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -205
Aug 26th	WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -218
Aug 25th	WSH	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -218
Aug 23rd	@SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD +110

Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	69	6.1	4
LC.Poche, P	9	1	2
RS.Armstrong, P	19	1.2	1
RP.Fairbanks, P	10	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	0	2
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-5	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-5	0	0
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0
6O.Basabe, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-3	1	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Aranda, PH	1-1	1	0
8R.Pinto, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, RF	0-3	0	0
9J.Lowe, PH	1-1	1	1
9J.Lowe, RF	1-1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	96	6	8	0
LA.Puk, P	19	0.1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	12	1.2	1	0
RD.Robertson, P	22	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0