Padres vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Padres at Rangers

6:35 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

3 - 1

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Scherzer			3.95	2-4
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+164	o7.5+100	-105
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-198	u7.5-115	-115

Thursday 6:35 p.m.

July 04, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

SD +114

1.71u

SD +117

1.17u

SD +115

1.15u

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 16% over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Rangers have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Rangers left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB. Padres have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Rangers are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The Rangers are just 15-57 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Padres are just 10-39 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

Travis Jankowski has an OPS of just .517 this season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 124 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .468 (123 PAs) this season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 6% of PA's over the last two weeks -- tied for second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 9% over the last two weeks -- third lowest among qualified SPs-- second Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.0 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (234 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 87.4

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (72 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.3 MPH on non-fastballs since the 2022 season (275 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 87.1

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -162
Jul 3rd	SD	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TEX -101
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 11-2	+1.5 W	O 9	TEX +142
Jun 29th	@BAL	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +140
Jun 28th	@BAL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -101

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	92	5.1	5	1
RJ.Estrada, P	24	1.2	0	0
LA.Morejon, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-3	2	1	1
2J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	3-4	1	0	1
6D.Peralta, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6B.Johnson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	1
8B.Sullivan, C	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Wade, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Wade, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Scherzer, P		90	6.1	3	3
RJ.Urena, P		39	2.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Smith, 3B	2-4	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	1	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	0-3	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-3	0	0
5W.Langford, LF	1-3	0	1
6L.Taveras, CF	1-4	0	0
7T.Jankowski, DH	0-4	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Heim, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Ornelas, 2B	0-3	0	0