Padres vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Padres at Brewers

5:10 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

1-2

0 - 1

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Wilson			4.04	5-4
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	-1.5	-1.5+154	o8.5-102	-105
Brewers 3-6	u8.5	+1.5-185	u8.5-116	-115

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL -112

0.89u

... home short fav that made playoffs last year off a loss of 3 now favorite Overall: 267-163-0,62% (ROI:14%) Season:6-2-0,75% (ROI:38%)

Under 9-120

0.5u

Bet to -124 or 8.5 (-105)

SD -110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -118

Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Padres RPs last season -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 38% last season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Brewers allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations last season -- second lowest in MLB (106 games). The Padres scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (93 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Jake Cronenworth is batting just .236 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .190 (92-for-483) against Freddy Peralta since the 2022 season -- eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

30% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 38% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 74% (26 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Michael King has walked 13 of 88 batters (15%) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 39% (26 SO in 66 PAs) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	SD	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -102
Apr 15th	SD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -115
Apr 14th	@BAL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +185
Apr 13th	@BAL	W 11-5	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +124
Apr 12th	@BAL	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P		109	7.2	10	1
LW.Peralta, P		8	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Kim, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7T.Wade, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Batten, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RB.Wilson, P	57	3.2	2
LB.Hudson, P	21	2.1	0
RE.Peguero, P	13	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	14	1	1
RJ.Payamps, P	16	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0
1S.Frelick, RF	0-4	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0
3J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-2	0	0
5O.Dunn, 3B	0-3	0	0
5J.Ortiz, 3B	0-0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, DH	0-2	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	1-3	1	0
8J.Chourio, RF	0-3	0	0
8J.Wiemer, LF	0-0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	1-3	0	1