Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Nationals at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Washington Nationals

38-59

14 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

51-47

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.24	8-8
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 38-59	+1.5-163	o8.5-102	+129
Cardinals 51-47	-1.5+135	u8.5-118	-153

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL -1-110

K.Gibson o4.5 Ks-108

1.08u

J.Irvin u4.5 Ks+104

0.5u

Projection lands at 4.18 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -121 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Featured Insight
Nationals have struck out just 19% this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. Cardinals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% this month -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have scored in at least three different innings in 63% of their games this month -- fourth highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 60% of their games this month -- tied for third highest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

CJ Abrams has an OPS of just .714 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .494 (566 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Lane Thomas is batting just .193 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .158 (74-for-467) on Sonny Gray breaking pitches since last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (228/416) with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 18 of 106 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 26-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Cardinals' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	53-45	27-22	26-23	19-24	33-21
Nationals	47-50	19-28	28-22	2-12	45-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	52-42-4	27-20-2	25-22-2	23-17-3	28-25-1
Nationals	51-43-3	25-22	26-21-3	5-9	46-34-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	51-47	29-20	22-27	24-19	26-28
Nationals	38-59	18-29	20-30	4-10	34-49

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	WSH	L 8-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -166
Jul 24th	@PIT	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -112
Jul 23rd	@PIT	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +150
Jul 22nd	@PIT	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +105
Jul 21st	@ATL	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +120

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	96	5.1	5	2
LJ.Ferrer, P	25	1.2	1	0
RE.Salazar, P	24	1	2	1
RT.Rainey, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-5	1	0	0
1N.Nunez, SS	0-0	1	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	3	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	2-3	0	0	1
3H.Ramirez, PH	3-3	2	0	3
3H.Ramirez, DH	3-3	2	0	3
4J.Yepez, 1B	2-5	1	0	3
5J.Wood, LF	4-5	2	0	2
6K.Ruiz, C	1-6	1	1	3
7L.Garcia, 2B	2-5	0	0	2
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	97	5	0	2
RC.Roycroft, P	25	0.1	1	3
LM.Liberatore, P	18	0.2	0	4
RG.Gallegos, P	43	1.2	4	1
RB.Crawford, P	35	1.1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	1-5	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	1	1	2
4B.Donovan, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4B.Donovan, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
5N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Carlson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8N.Gorman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-4	0	0	0