Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2023

Nationals at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

Washington Nationals

11-14

3 - 5

Atlanta Braves

10-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Strider			3.86	20-5
J.Adon			6.45	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 11-14	+1.5+145	o9-106	+300
Braves 10-14	-1.5-175	u9-114	-375

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

September 30, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

S.Strider u5.5 Ks-112

$56.00

Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored 2.4 runs per game while trailing this season -- fourth-highest in MLB (121 games). The Braves have allowed 2.4 runs per game while leading this season -- tied for third-highest in MLB (137 games).

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Featured Insight
Braves Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 21% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth-lowest in MLB. NationalsRPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-4 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .871 since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Cory Abbott has allowed an OPS of .875 (387 PAs) since last season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .896 since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .780 (461 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (618/1,597) against Spencer Strider this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (274 SO in 738 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 4-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Braves' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	10-14	6-5	4-9	7-10	3-4
Nationals	12-13	8-4	4-9	1-4	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	11-10-3	5-5-1	6-5-2	9-7-1	2-3-2
Nationals	12-13	7-5	5-8	3-2	9-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	10-14	8-3	2-11	9-8	1-6
Nationals	11-14	7-5	4-9	2-3	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	WSH	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 10	WSH -264
Sep 28th	CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -142
Sep 27th	CHC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 26th	CHC	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL -148
Sep 24th	@WSH	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -295

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Adon, P	88	4	5	3
RJ.Weems, P	13	0.1	1	2
LJ.La Sorsa, P	16	0.1	1	0
RA. Machado, P	19	1.1	1	0
RC. Abbott, P	16	1	0	0
RT.Rainey, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-5	1	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-5	0	0
3K.Ruiz, C	2-5	1	1
4J.Meneses, DH	1-5	1	1
5L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	1-2	0	0
7C. Kieboom, 3B	0-4	0	0
8J. Alu, LF	0-3	0	0
8I.Vargas, PH	1-1	0	0
8I.Vargas, LF	1-1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	94	5	7	3
RP.Johnson, P	16	1	3	0
RK.Yates, P	9	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	17	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-3	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	1	3
6M.Harris, CF	2-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0