Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2025

Mets at Phillies

10:45 pm • SNY
3 - 11
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Cristopher Sanchez logoC.SanchezPhiladelphia Phillies logo2.5013-5
Clayton Holmes logoC.HolmesNew York Mets logo3.5312-8

Mets at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-157
o7.5-110
+135
Phillies
0-0
u8
-1.5+100
u7.5-110
-163
location pinWednesday 10:45 p.m.
September 10, 2025
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Mets vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 47-47-0 (-1.2u)
Under 8.5-142
0.5u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 62-76-3 (-13.2u)
H.Bader o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.75u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 136-121-1 (+4.8u)
H.Bader o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 77-78-1 (-12.4u)
Under 7.5+100
3u
The Pick Don
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 27-19-0 (+5.2u)
Under 8-115
1.73u
FREE POTD. Christopher Sanchez has been elite this season and has proven to be one of the most reliable pitchers over the last few years. He owns a 2.60 ERA with a 3.01 xERA, 2.59 FIP, and 2.83 xFIP. His 114 Stuff+ and 116 Pitching+ grades rank among the best in the league. Sanchez’s changeup is one of the most devastating pitches in baseball, carrying a 17 run value. He’s striking out batters at a 26% clip with a 30.2% whiff rate, while limiting barrels to just 5.4%. His best trait, however, is his elite ground ball ability. Sanchez is inducing grounders on 58.3% of balls in play (96th percentile), making him the best ground ball starter in baseball not named Framber Valdez. At home, he’s been even better with a 2.28 ERA, and he faces a Mets team that ranks just 18th against left handed pitching, hitting .239 with a .389 SLG. While the Mets carry a strong 122 wRC+ at home, that drops to just 105 on the road. Clay Holmes is an interesting case, transitioning from an elite bullpen arm to a starting role. With that has come some natural deterioration of his stuff, as it’s nearly impossible to throw like a closer over five innings. Still, Holmes remains a very talented arm with above average pitch modeling and one of the best fastballs in the game. Like Sanchez, he’s an elite ground ball pitcher, sitting at 55.7%, and he’s also performed better on the road. The Phillies offense is normally strong at home, but this lineup is depleted right now. Both Trea Turner, who has been on fire, and Alec Bohm are sidelined with injuries, leaving the lineup far less intimidating. Yesterday’s 9-3 Phillies win also left both bullpens completely rested. The Mets will have Garrett, Rogers, and Diaz available, while the Phillies counter with Strahm, Kerkering, and Duran. Despite yesterday’s higher scoring game, the pitching should control tonight. Take the under 8 (playable to 7.5).
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 155-181-6 (-9.3u)
Under 8-115
0.58u
Bet to 7.5 (+100)
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 118-136-5 (+22.0u)
Under 8-115
1u
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Mets vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mets vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mets

Public

21%

Bets%

79%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
81-8141-4040-4162-6719-14
Mets
74-8839-4235-4648-6726-21

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
70-81-1141-37-329-44-857-61-1113-20
Mets
76-80-640-39-236-41-454-55-622-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
96-6655-2641-4080-4916-17
Mets
83-7949-3234-4764-5119-28

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 9thNYMW 9-3-1.5 WO 8PHI -137
Sep 8thNYMW 1-0+1.5 WU 8.5PHI +110
Sep 7th@MIAL 4-5-1.5 LU 9MIA -146
Sep 6th@MIAW 4-2-1.5 WU 8PHI -158
Sep 5th@MIAW 9-3-1.5 WO 8PHI -252

Mets vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Jesse Winker
    LF

    Winker is out with back

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Nicklaus Madrigal
    3B

    Madrigal is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    SP

    Scott is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Phillies Injuries

    Mets vs. Phillies Box Score
    Mets Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Clayton Holmes logoRC.Holmes, P76454
    Gregory Soto logoLG.Soto, P221.124
    Ryne Stanek logoRR.Stanek, P341.241
    Ryan Helsley logoRR.Helsley, P26112
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS0-3000
    Ronny Mauricio logo1R.Mauricio, PH0-1000
    Ronny Mauricio logo1R.Mauricio, SS0-1000
    Juan Soto logo2J.Soto, RF3-5211
    Mark Vientos logo3M.Vientos, 3B0-3000
    Peter Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B1-4000
    Starling Marte logo5S.Marte, DH2-4001
    Brandon Nimmo logo6B.Nimmo, LF0-4000
    Francisco Alvarez logo7F.Alvarez, C0-3000
    Hayden Senger logo7H.Senger, PH1-1100
    Jose Siri logo8J.Siri, CF0-2000
    Boyce Mullins logo8C.Mullins, PH1-1000
    Boyce Mullins logo8C.Mullins, CF1-1000
    Luisangel Acuna logo9L.Acuna, 2B0-2000
    Brett Baty logo9B.Baty, PH1-2001
    Brett Baty logo9B.Baty, 2B1-2001
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Cristopher Sanchez logoLC.Sanchez, P93661
    Richard Kerkering logoRO.Kerkering, P29120
    Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P7111
    Lou Trivino logoRL.Trivino, P24101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Harrison Bader logo1H.Bader, CF2-5200
    Kyle Schwarber logo2K.Schwarber, DH1-2100
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B1-4211
    Garrett Stubbs logo3G.Stubbs, C0-0000
    Jacob Realmuto logo4J.Realmuto, C2-4201
    Weston Wilson logo4W.Wilson, 1B0-0000
    Brandon Marsh logo5B.Marsh, LF3-5202
    Maximilian Kepler logo6M.Kepler, RF3-4115
    Otto Kemp logo7O.Kemp, 3B1-4101
    Bryson Stott logo8B.Stott, SS1-4000
    Donovan Walton logo9D.Walton, 2B0-5001

    Mets vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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    Mets at Phillies Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Mets
    0-0
    o3.5+105
    u3.5-133
    Phillies
    0-0
    o4-112
    u4-114