Mets vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2023

Mets at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN

New York Mets

12-12

11 - 5

Washington Nationals

14-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 12-12	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 14-9	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

September 05, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 9-120

Hitter friendly park/weather/umpire - Quintana (5.18 SIERA/4.45 xERA), Corbin 4.94/6.12 - WAS 105 wRC+ v LHP, NYM 95, but 138 L7 days - NYM pen 7th worst estimators MLB L30 days

J.Quintana o3.5 Ks-160

0.63u

Over 9-115

0.87u

WSH +122

0.5u

Over 9-115

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 9.5 (+100)

WSH +126

0.5u

Bet to +110

WSH +130

1.5u

Painful to say with Corbin (4.94 SIERA/6.12 xERA) on the mound, but wrong favorite here. Quintana (5.18/4.45) has all pitches graded below average via PitchingBot - WAS 10 pt wRC+ edge v LHP - WAS def 11 Runs Prevented better (though depends on actual LUs) - WAS pen estimators 3/4 run better L30 days

Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- sixth-lowest in MLB (300 games). The Mets have allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- ninth-lowest in MLB (300 games).

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Featured Insight
Mets Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 20% against RHP since last season -- sixth-lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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Tuesday MLB Props: Alonso, Bellinger Could Blast Off
Alex Hinton•
Sep 5, 2023 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	MIA	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 2nd	MIA	L 5-11	-	-	-
Sep 1st	MIA	L 5-8	-	-	-
Aug 31st	MIA	L 1-6	-	-	-
Aug 30th	@TOR	L 0-7	-	-	-

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	97	7	4	1
RS. Coonrod, P	18	0	0	4
RS.Reid-Foley, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Smith, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	3-5	3	2	2
2F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
3J.McNeil, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Vientos, DH	1-2	2	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	2-3	3	1	3
7B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	0	2
8R.Mauricio, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9T. Locastro, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	83	4	2	8
RA. Machado, P	30	3	1	1
RA.Willingham, P	24	2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Young, CF	2-4	2	1
2J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	1	1
3K.Ruiz, C	1-3	0	0
3D.Millas, C	0-0	0	1
4R.Adams, DH	0-3	0	1
5C.Kieboom, 3B	0-4	0	0
6I.Vargas, SS	1-4	0	1
7T.Blankenhorn, LF	1-4	0	0
8A.Call, RF	0-2	1	0
9J. Alu, 2B	1-4	1	0