Mets vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Mets at Nationals

3:05 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

0-0

0 - 1

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 0-0	-1.5+141	o9-120	-110
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-170	u9+100	-108

Thursday 3:05 p.m.

July 04, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 9.5+102

WSH -105 (F5)

0.26u

Small to -108

Over 9-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Under 1 (1st Inn)+100

FanDuel and Kambi overnight lines

Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 4.9 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB (199 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.2 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB (200 games).

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Featured Insight
Nationals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of just 13% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

29% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 45% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

46% of Jesse Winker strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 366 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 36% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (443/775) in two strike counts since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 0 Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (471/943) when ahead in the count since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	NYM	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	WSH +106
Jul 2nd	NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +120
Jul 1st	NYM	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +100
Jun 30th	@TB	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +160
Jun 29th	@TB	W 8-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +114

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P		95	7	1	0
RA.Houser, P		15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Gamel, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P		99	8	8	0
RD.Law, P		9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Winker, PH	1-1	1	1	1
3J.Winker, DH	1-1	1	1	1
4J.Meneses, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Wood, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Adams, C	2-2	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0