Giants vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Giants at Brewers

12:10 am • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

33-26

3 - 5

Milwaukee Brewers

32-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
K.Harrison			4.56	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 33-26	+1.5	+1.5-149	o8-105	+143
Brewers 32-28	u8	-1.5+124	u8-115	-170

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

August 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

F.Peralta u7.5 Ks-136

1.36u

Under in 8/L8, with a CSW% in the lower 20th percentile of qualified starters since 7/1. Giants do K a lot, but they’re also patient, with 7-8 guys in the lineup today with above avg pitches per PA, and as a team are well below avg with their chase rate. Should be able to limit Freddy’s volume.

MIL -166

0.3u

F.Peralta u2.5 BB-175

Bet365

MIL o2.5 Team Total (F5)+120

1.2u

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road since last season -- lowest in MLB (149 games). The Giants have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- third lowest in MLB (147 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 28, 2024 UTC

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The Brewers are 131-10 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Thairo Estrada has an OPS of just .692 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .478 (509 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 18-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Brewers' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	33-27	15-13	18-14	17-13	15-14
Giants	26-33	12-14	14-19	13-23	12-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	23-34-3	10-17-1	13-17-2	12-17-1	11-16-2
Giants	27-31-1	11-15	16-16-1	11-25	15-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-28	18-10	14-18	21-9	10-19
Giants	33-26	17-9	16-17	22-14	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	SF	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8	SF -115
Aug 25th	@ATH	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	ATH -146
Aug 24th	@ATH	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -123
Aug 24th	@ATH	W 11-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL -115
Aug 22nd	@STL	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -130

Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out
Jerar Encarnacion
RF
Encarnacion is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Harrison, P	92	4.2	7	5
RS.Hjelle, P	9	0.1	0	0
RA.Warren, P	24	2	0	0
RS.Bivens, P	13	0.1	0	0
LE.Miller, P	15	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-3	0	0
2T.Fitzgerald, SS	2-4	1	0
3M.Conforto, LF	1-3	1	1
3C.Casali, C	0-0	0	0
4H.Ramos, DH	1-3	0	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	1	0
6M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-4	0	0
7T.Estrada, 2B	2-4	0	1
8G.McCray, CF	0-4	0	0
9A.Knapp, C	0-2	0	0
9J.Encarnacion, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Encarnacion, LF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	105	6	8	0
RT.Megill, P	15	1	0	1
LJ.Koenig, P	23	0.2	2	2
RJ.Payamps, P	6	0.1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2B.Perkins, CF	2-3	1	0	2
3W.Contreras, C	2-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Sanchez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Bauers, DH	1-1	0	0	0
5E.Haase, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5E.Haase, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Monasterio, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
7B.Turang, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Frelick, RF	0-2	1	0	0
9G.Mitchell, RF	0-0	0	0	0