Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 19, 2023

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Arizona Diamondbacks

24-22

0 - 4

San Diego Padres

27-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 24-22	+1.5-149	o8.5-120	+140
Padres 27-17	-1.5+122	u8.5+101	-170

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

August 19, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 9-110

0.5u

Bet to -123 or 8.5 (-103)

ARI +158

0.5u

Bet to +155

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% this season -- tied for ninth-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Padres this season -- best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.5 runs per game in late innings since last season -- second-highest in MLB (283 games). The Padres have allowed 1.4 runs per game in late innings since last season -- 10th-highest in MLB (284 games).

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The Padres are just 48-27 (.640) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Diamondbacks are just 13-18 (.419) after a home loss this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

Ketel Marte is slugging .596 on breaking pitches this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Scott Barlow has thrown a breaking pitch 71% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Tommy Pham is batting just .192 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 34% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CB-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 10-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Padres' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	26-18	16-7	10-11	15-10	11-8
Diamondbacks	22-24	12-13	10-11	14-17	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	19-24-1	8-14-1	11-10	12-12-1	7-12
Diamondbacks	21-22-3	9-13-3	12-9	15-13-3	6-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	27-17	16-7	11-10	17-8	10-9
Diamondbacks	24-22	12-13	12-9	17-14	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 18th	ARI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	ARI -125
Aug 17th	BAL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -190
Aug 16th	BAL	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -111
Aug 15th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -144
Aug 13th	@ARI	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -149

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	107	7	5	0
RM.Castro, P	8	0.1	0	4
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J. Peterson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Kennedy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Thomas, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7K. Lewis, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-3	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Lugo, P	104	6	9
RS.Barlow, P	8	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	9	1	1
LJ.Hader, P	11	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Kim, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3J.Soto, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Sanchez, C	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Azocar, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-0	0	0	0
8G.Cooper, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Gamel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
8M.Carpenter, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0