Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2023

Diamondbacks at Cubs

11:40 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

60-66

6 - 2

Chicago Cubs

70-54

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.05	5-3
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 60-66	+1.5-145	o8.5-110	+135
Cubs 70-54	-1.5+120	u8.5-113	-165

Thursday 11:40 p.m.

September 07, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

ARI +1+100

ARI +171

0.86u

Bet to +147

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-102)

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- fifth-highest in MLB (147 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- 10th-highest in MLB (146 games).

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% this season -- 10th-worst in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Cubs this season -- third-best in MLB.

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The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Cody Bellinger is slugging .633 on breaking pitches this season -- second best among hitters with at least 207 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Nelson has thrown a breaking pitch 65% of the time this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Javier Assad has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (127/245) of opposing batters this season -- 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 30-32 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 28 of Cubs' 62 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	58-66	28-34	30-32	43-45	15-21
Diamondbacks	60-65	28-33	32-32	31-45	29-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	57-60-7	28-30-4	29-30-3	38-45-5	19-15-2
Diamondbacks	61-59-5	29-28-4	32-31-1	37-35-4	24-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	70-54	38-24	32-30	56-32	14-22
Diamondbacks	60-66	30-31	30-34	38-38	22-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 6th	SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 11	CHC -151
Sep 5th	SF	W 11-8	-1.5 W	O 10.5	CHC -125
Sep 4th	SF	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -130
Sep 3rd	@CIN	W 15-7	-1.5 W	O 10	CHC -150
Sep 2nd	@CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -124

John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

Jameson Taillon
SP
Taillon is out with calf
Out
Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	73	5.2	3	1
LA.Saalfrank, P	7	0.1	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	10	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	8	1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	21	0.2	1	1
RP.Sewald, P	4	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-5	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3T.Pham, LF	2-5	2	2	3
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	1-2	0	0	0
7P.Smith, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Lawlar, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	87	5.1	0	3
RK.Thompson, P	41	2.1	2	2
RH.Wesneski, P	23	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	0	0
1N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
4C.Bellinger, 1B	1-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	1
6S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	1	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	0-2	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0
9C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0