Brewers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

Brewers at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Milwaukee Brewers

13-12

7 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

12-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
W.Miley			6.43	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 13-12	+1.5	+1.5-178	o8.5-103	+120
Reds 12-13	u9	-1.5+148	u8.5-116	-141

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 8.5-110

1.65u

MIL +120

1.2u

W. Miley u3.5 Ks+106

0.53u

Ballpark pal gives this -120 odds projecting 3.39 Ks and also a +EV bet with devig odds of -126 providing value

Over 8.5-110

$50.00

CIN -130 (F5)

… mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 154-72-41,68% (ROI:17%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 9-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Brewers have scored in at least three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB. Reds have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents batted just .232 (560-for-2,413) against Reds RPs last season -- 10th best in MLB. The Brewers batted just .227 versus relief pitchers last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
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The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emilio Pagan allowed an OPS of just .553 (273 PAs) last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

35% of Brice Turang strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- tied for ninth highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 51% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (292/555) since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 99th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.4 -- 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 51% of the time (250/491) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CUT; League Avg: 19% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Reds' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	14-11	7-5	7-6	5-4	9-6
Brewers	13-12	8-5	5-7	9-5	3-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	12-12-1	5-6-1	7-6	2-6-1	9-6
Brewers	9-14-2	5-7-1	4-7-1	5-8-1	4-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	12-13	6-6	6-7	5-4	7-8
Brewers	13-12	9-4	4-8	10-4	2-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	MIL	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 9	MIL -135
Apr 8th	MIL	W 10-8	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -109
Apr 7th	NYM	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +100
Apr 6th	NYM	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -125
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Tobias Myers
P
Myers is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
P
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LW.Miley, P	52	4	0	1
RB.Wilson, P	42	3	1	1
LH.Milner, P	7	1	0	0
RJ.Bukauskas, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	1-3	2	0	2
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	2
3C.Yelich, DH	1-4	1	1	2
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7B.Perkins, CF	1-2	2	1	1
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	105	6	9	6
RB.Farmer, P	19	1	2	0
LB.Suter, P	23	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	0	0	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	2-3	1	1	1
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0