Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Blue Jays at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSE

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

9 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-0	+1.5-155	o7.5-115	+135
Braves 0-2	-1.5+130	u7.5-105	-161

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

September 07, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks+100

He didn’t have it against the Phillies - it was their third time seeing them and they seemed more prepared. Now he gets the Blue Jays for the first time. Over in 11/L13 - and the Blue Jays lower K% over the L14 days is more of a product of who’ve they’ve faced. DK alt line at +100

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have allowed just 2.6 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games). The Braves have scored just 2.8 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (140 games). The Blue Jays have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (140 games).

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Ziefel's Top 3 MLB Player Props for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
Sep 7, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Matt Olson is batting just .195 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 185 total CB-- 91st Percentile.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .692 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .532 (446 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 101 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd -- Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 105.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (242/686) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 6th	TOR	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -170
Sep 5th	COL	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	COL -280
Sep 4th	COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -285
Sep 3rd	COL	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -372
Sep 1st	@PHI	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +110

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	90	6	5	1
RR.Burr, P	18	1	2	0
LG.Cabrera, P	14	1	0	0
RL.Frias, P	20	0.1	0	4
LB.Little, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Lukes, RF	3-5	0	0	1
2D.Varsho, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	1-5	2	0	1
4S.Horwitz, 1B	4-5	3	2	3
5W.Wagner, 2B	3-5	0	0	2
6A.Kirk, C	1-5	0	0	0
7A.Barger, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8E.Clement, SS	2-4	2	0	1
9J.Loperfido, LF	2-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	72	5	3	3
LA.Bummer, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	20	1	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	11	1	0	0
RG.Holmes, P	27	0.2	0	3
RL.Jackson, P	5	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	2
2T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	0
5R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0
6J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	0
7G.Urshela, 3B	1-4	1	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	0
9L.Williams, 2B	2-4	0	2