Astros vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Astros at Twins

6:10 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

15-23

3 - 9

Minnesota Twins

16-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7
H.Brown			3.49	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 15-23	+1.5-185	o7.5-110	+114
Twins 16-22	-1.5+154	u7.5-110	-135

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+320

0.31u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+120

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-129

MIN -142

1.5u

J.Ryan u18.5 Outs-165

0.5u

HOU +120

0.5u

HOU +120 (F5)

0.5u

MIN -138

MIN -130

1.54u

HOU +120

$1.00

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

MIN -0.5 (F5)+100

1.25u

J.Miranda o1.5 Total Bases+110

$55.00

Under 7.5-109

1.64u

J.Ryan u18.5 Outs-150

0.67u

MIN -120

MIN -116

0.5u

Brown 3.78 SIERA/3.33 ERA, Ryan 3.21/3.00 - HOU 98/113 wRC+ Rd/v RHP, MIN 121/108 - MIN top 1/3 defense, HOU lg avg - MIN slightly better pen estimators L30 days

Featured Insight
Astros RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Twins have struck out 25% since last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Astros RPs over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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The Twins are 19-6 (.760) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Mauricio Dubon is batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 15th worst among hitters with at least 129 total PA's-- 12th Percentile. Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 71% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jose Altuve is batting .284 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (280 Total Bases / 604 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 -- ninth Percentile.

Joe Ryan's K:BB ratio is 7.3 (51/7) vs left-handed batters this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 8-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Twins' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	18-20	10-10	8-10	4-6	14-13
Astros	15-23	8-11	7-12	4-11	11-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	22-13-3	11-6-3	11-7	7-3	14-10-3
Astros	24-12-2	14-5	10-7-2	9-6	14-6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	16-22	10-10	6-12	4-6	12-15
Astros	15-23	9-10	6-13	5-10	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	HOU	L 12-13	-1.5 L	O 8	HOU -152
Jul 4th	DET	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 8	MIN -184
Jul 4th	DET	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9	DET -174
Jul 2nd	DET	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -130
Jun 30th	@SEA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -115

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	105	6	6	7
RR.Montero, P	19	1	0	2
RK.Ort, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
2J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
3G.Kessinger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3G.Kessinger, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	3-4	1	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
6J.Meyers, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
8C.McCormick, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Loperfido, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Loperfido, LF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	110	5.2	8	3
RJ.Alcala, P	2	0.1	0	0
RC.Sands, P	28	2	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 2B	3-5	2	0	1
2C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3T.Larnach, LF	1-4	1	0	1
4J.Miranda, 3B	2-3	0	0	1
5C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
6M.Kepler, RF	2-3	1	0	1
7B.Buxton, CF	2-4	2	1	2
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Lee, DH	1-4	1	1	2