Manchester City (7-3-1) and Newcastle United (3-5-3) will face off today at 12:30 p.m. EST at St. James' Park in Newcastle, England.
Man City is favored at a -111 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +120u) goals.
Let's get into my Man City vs. Newcastle prediction.
Man City vs. Newcastle Prediction
Pick: Manchester City or draw (X2) and Both teams to score – Yes
My Man City vs. Newcastle best bet is on the Citizens to win or draw and both teams to score in this match.
Man City vs. Newcastle Odds
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -115 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | -111 |
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -120 | 2.5 -150o / 120u | +270 |
Man City vs. Newcastle Picks, Parlay
Picks: Manchester City or draw (X2) and Both teams to score – Yes (-105)
Pep Guardiola's squad has navigated a string of challenging fixtures with impressive ease. The Citizens secured convincing victories over Bournemouth, Dortmund, and Liverpool at the Etihad.
However, City's performances away from home have been less stellar, with only two victories in their last five matches on the road. During this stretch, they scored seven goals while conceding four, highlighting their mixed form in away fixtures.
Facing a Newcastle side on a five-game winning streak across all competitions at St. James' Park presents a formidable challenge. Opting for a double chance bet, combined with both teams to score, emerges as the value pick for this encounter.
Eddie Howe’s squad boasts a remarkable defensive record, having secured five clean sheets and recorded the third-lowest expected goals against (xGA) in the league. Their xGA of 11.4 is bettered only by City and Arsenal.
Our in-house tool, BETSiE, predictions align seamlessly with our analysis. City’s expected 1.57 goals are anticipated to outmatch Newcastle’s 1.12 xG.
Furthermore, historical head-to-head results bolster this viewpoint. City has maintained an unbeaten streak in its last 12 league encounters against Newcastle. During this stretch, the Citizens has secured nine victories, averaging three goals per match, 2.08 more than Newcastle.
Notably, in the three most recent away fixtures against Newcastle, this bet returned a profit.
Man City vs. Newcastle Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man City | Draw | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man City | Total Goals | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.69 | 1.12 |
Man City vs. Newcastle Betting Analysis
Manchester City heads to St. James' Park fresh off a 3-0 victory over Liverpool at the Etihad, which solidified its title credentials.
City's impressive form — unbeaten in 13 of their last 14 matches — is underscored by its defensive solidity and attacking numbers, averaging 2.36 goals per game while conceding just 0.57.
City dominates this fixture, unbeaten in 12 league encounters, averaging three goals per game against Newcastle. The Magpies, boasting five consecutive home victories, will represent a tough test for Pep Guardiola’s men, especially after the international break.
Yet, the hosts have disappointed against top sides, previously losing to Arsenal and Liverpool at home this season.
Conceding five goals to Arsenal and Liverpool reveals Newcastle's struggles against elite competition. In this context, Erling Haaland's extraordinary form positions him as a pivotal player to influence the outcome in City's favor.
Interestingly, in City’s most recent five visits to St. James’ Park, Pep’s side have only won twice. Despite kicking off at 1.67/-149 in September of the 2024/25 season, Manchester City could only muster a 1-1 draw.
Man City vs. Newcastle Projected Starting Lineups
Man City
Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Gvardiol, O’Reilly; Bernardo, Gonzalez; Cherki, Foden, Doku; Haaland.
Newcastle
Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Murphy, Woltemade, Gordon.
