Ousmane Dembele and Paris Saint-Germain are out for revenge on Tuesday as the Parisiens visit Liverpool's iconic home of Anfield to claim what Alisson Becker denied them in Paris. But can they get that coveted ticket to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals?
Here is my Liverpool vs. PSG prediction and Champions League odds for today's match.
Liverpool vs. PSG Prediction, Pick, Champions League Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +115 | 3.5 +108 o / -134 u | -111 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -150 | 3.5 +108 o / -134 u | +270 |
- Liverpool vs. PSG moneyline odds: Liverpool -111 ; Draw +295; PSG +270
- Liverpool vs. PSG over/under: 3.5 Goals (Over +108, Under -134)
- Liverpool vs. PSG pick: Draw and Liverpool to Advance
I am backing a Draw and Liverpool to Advance in the Liverpool vs. PSG match.
Liverpool Prediction
Let us be clear: Liverpool got away with murder last Wednesday. Goalkeeper Alisson Becker produced one of the best goalkeeping performances of all time to keep them in the match at the Parc des Princes, and Harvey Elliott's winner was just the cherry on top.
Arne Slot's side recorded the lowest goal attempt differential (-25) in a knockout game since 2003, per Opta. The shots they did take only amounted to 0.27 expected goals (xG), and Allison's performance was worth an incredible 2.3 goals prevented, his best since joining the Reds in 2018.
Still, it did not shock the Anfield side, who came from behind to beat Southampton 3-1 in the league on Saturday and extend their lead to 15 points. Mohamed Salah scored two from the penalty spot to seal the win, becoming the Reds' third-highest scorer of all time in the process.
With Cody Gakpo back in contention for the second leg, only Tyler Morton (shoulder), Joe Gomez (hamstring) and Conor Bradley (hamstring) are unavailable to Slot.
PSG Prediction
Luis Enrique must be climbing the walls at the Parc des Princes. How often does your team bring one of the most in-form teams on the planet to its knees and take absolutely nothing from it? PSG have shown they can cause problems for Liverpool, but it remains to be seen whether this ship has sailed for them.
For starters, they'll need a repeat of that incredible performance, which won't be easy. Per Opta, the Parisiens completed 19 dribbles at the Parc des Princes, which is the most anyone has managed against the Reds in the Champions League since Porto did it in 2004.
Ousmane Dembélé and Vitinha (who also completed 109 passes for 96% pass accuracy in the game) were imperious, but those levels aren't easy to replicate after such a heartbreaking defeat.
However, they showed no sign of slowing down in the league, where they completed a 4-1 battering away at 12th-placed Rennes, with goals by Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, and Dembélé.
Without a single player unavailable due to injury or suspension, it's Luis Enrique's pick as to who'll come out of the gates at Anfield, but so was the last time around.
Liverpool vs. PSG Pick
Last time, I said that Liverpool could hold out to settle the series at Anfield, and it has come true. Make no mistake; the win definitely helps them more than a short defeat ever could've. But few teams have such a knack for unforgettable nights at home like the Reds (think that 4-0 against Barcelona, the 3-0 against City, etc).
Yes, Arne Slot's side was thoroughly outplayed in Paris, but two things have changed since. First, they'll have the Kop behind their backs now, and second, PSG needs a result while Liverpool doesn't. Luis Enrique's side has to go out to get at least two goals, while Liverpool, who have been deadly on the counter all season long, can settle for a 0-0.
They'd be foolish to play too defensive, but they'll be through if they can keep PSG at bay.
