Of course, some players will find the end zone in the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 8, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., but most won't.
Prediction market Kalshi has odds posted for which Seahawks and Patriots players are most and least likely to score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX, with plenty of value on the "no" side of the markets.
You can trade on this and other Super Bowl events, as well as thousands of other markets, at Kalshi, which is available in most U.S. states. We wrote a full explainer on how it works here.
Super Bowl Touchdown Odds
Kenneth Walker III No Touchdown Odds
Kalshi has Walker as the most likely player on either team to score a touchdown, giving him roughly a 64% chance to do so.
However, this means that the value of picking Walker to score has gone way down, and bettors may be better served sprinkling a bit on Walker to miss out on the party.
Our PRO projections have Walker at 0.83 touchdowns scored for the Super Bowl, which gives his Anytime TD bet a -7.8% edge.
Fade Walker on Sunday.
Cooper Kupp No Touchdown Odds
Cooper Kupp has had big Super Bowl moments in the past, most notably winning the Super Bowl LVI MVP Award after a 92-yard, two-touchdown performance in his Rams' win over the Bengals. This time around, the odds for Kupp to score aren't in his favor.
In Seattle, Kupp has taken a backseat to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, especially in these playoffs.
Smith-Njigba caught 10 passes for 153 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship Game, while Kupp was held to just 36 yards on four receptions (though he did find the end zone).
With a -7.3% edge on Kupp's Anytime TD bet, PRO is expecting more of the same in the Super Bowl.
Stefon Diggs No Touchdown Odds
One of the biggest storylines of this year's NFL playoffs has been the Patriots' ability to succeed despite subpar play from quarterback Drake Maye, and perhaps no other offensive player has felt that effect more severely than Diggs.
After spending many years as a star on playoff teams in Minnesota and Buffalo, Diggs has notched just 11 receptions and 73 yards across three postseason games this year, finding the end zone just once against the Texans.
PRO projects Diggs at just 0.25 touchdowns in Super Bowl LX, suggesting there might be greater value on him not scoring. That projection yields a -6.5% edge on Diggs' Anytime TD bet.
What Do Oddsmakers Want?
John Murray, vice president of The SuperBook, said pretty much every oddsmaker wants a low-scoring Super Bowl and is generally rooting against touchdowns, no matter who scores them.
"I want the game to be as boring as possible," Murray said. "I want to fall asleep in my office chair, watching the game."
But the sportsbooks don't want it to be too boring. They do need at least one touchdown to be scored, which almost didn't happen in Super Bowl 53, a Patriots 13-3 win over the Rams.
"That one got scary, because we didn't want there to be no touchdowns," Murray said. "People bet that there would not be a touchdown scored. The first and only touchdown in that game didn't come until the fourth quarter.
"Those odds were so long that the payout would've cut into the rest of our day. And there were people who won on Rams no player to score a touchdown."
In fact, there are always flier bets on "no touchdown scored" and on "either team to not score a TD". In Super Bowl 60 odds, The SuperBook has no touchdowns at +12000 (120/1) and a few three- or four-figure bets at that number can make liability add up in a hurry.
Seahawks no touchdowns is +4000, and Patriots no touchdowns is +1800.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
