Each week, I’ll do a round-robin of five players whose upside I'm targeting. The goal is to hit three of five to make a profit, with exponentially increasing profits for hitting four or even all five legs.
These will be tracked each week in this writeup as well as under the ParlayExpress handle in the Action App.
Here are the five players whose upside I like for Week 12.
NFL Player Prop Round Robin
Amon-Ra St. Brown 90+ Receiving Yards (+170)
The Sun God’s targets per route increase from 20% to 29% when going from man to zone coverage, and the Colts play the most zone in the NFL.
Indy also has a tough time stopping shorter passes, allowing the ninth-worst defensive DVOA against these, which is the area in which St. Brown thrives.
The Colts’ quick pace and inefficient offense that relies on big plays has led to the second-lowest time of possession. Detroit should see plenty of the ball on Sunday, so expect big volume for its top receiver.
