The New England Patriots (7-2) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) square off today in Week 10 NFL action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Bucs are 2.5-point favorites over the Patriots on the spread (Bucs -2.5; -114), with the over/under set at 48 (-113o / -107u). Tampa Bay is a -145 moneyline favorite; New England is a +122 underdog.
Let's get into my Patriots vs Buccaneers predictions for Week 10.
Patriots vs Bucs Predictions, Picks
- Patriots vs Buccaneers pick: Over 48 (-110)
My Buccaneers vs. Patriots best bet is on the over. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Patriots vs Bucs Odds, Lines
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+2.5 -107 | 48 -113o / -107u | +122 |
| Buccaneers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-2.5 -114 | 48 -113o / -107u | -145 |
Patriots vs Bucs Preview, Prediction
Some books have the total for Patriots-Bucs listed at 48, some as high as 48.5 — either way, it's an appealing number to attack as this should be a high-scoring game.
These defenses have made plays at times this season, but neither is particularly great.
Both teams funnel to the pass, and both Drake Maye and Baker Mayfield can move around in the pocket.
That mobility, combined with their ability to make big plays, creates favorable conditions for explosive passing.
Blitzes will pull defenders out of coverage on both sides, and the Patriots will likely use single-high looks, which sets up even more opportunities for points.
The Buccaneers are banged up offensively. Notably, Chris Godwin is likely still out, as is Bucky Irving.
The Bucs won’t be at peak form at receiver for the rest of the year, but that hasn’t mattered much in terms of production.
Mayfield has already thrown touchdowns to the likes of Ryan Miller, Kameron Johnson and Tez Johnson — essentially everyone on the roster.
Of course, he'll also have star rookie Emeka Egbuka at his disposal.
Long story short: The Bucs offense has proven it can still function effectively despite missing their key pieces.
Since Week 4, the Patriots have put up at least 23 points and have topped out at 42. They've averaged 29.5 PPG over that six-game span thanks to Maye breaking out in his sophomore season.
Much like Mayfield, Maye is making use out of everyone on the roster, throwing touchdowns to Stefon Diggs, DeMario Douglas, Kayshon Boutte, and Hunter Henry among many others.
Patriots vs Bucs Prediction, Over/Under Pick
The Patriots defense has been trending upward, but they aren't strong against the pass despite the presence of Christian Gonzalez, who is expected to play after suffering a head injury in Week 9.
That’s really all the setup needed for a play on the over for today's game.
Running the ball won’t be a factor either.
The Patriots have only managed to run effectively in a couple of games this year, and while the Buccaneers ran heavily against the Saints, they likely won't be able to do the same against New England.
This matchup should favor the pass, and any funky turnovers or special teams plays could quickly push this game over the number.
Pick: Over 48 (-110)
Patriots vs Bucs Betting Trends
Patriots vs Bucs Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Raymond James Stadium |
| Date: | Sunday, Nov. 9 |
| Time: | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | CBS |
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