The Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) and Miami Dolphins (1-4) will square off in Week 6 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Chargers are 3.5-point favorites over the Dolphins on the spread (Chargers -3.5), with the over/under set at 44.5 total points. Los Angeles is a -200 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is +165 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Chargers vs Dolphins predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday, October 12.
Chargers vs Dolphins Picks, Prediction
- Chargers vs Dolphins pick: Under 44.5 (-110)
My Dolphins vs. Chargers best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Chargers vs Dolphins Odds for NFL Week 6
| Chargers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -200 |
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | +165 |
- Chargers vs Dolphins spread: Chargers -3.5
- Chargers vs Dolphins total: 44.5 total points
- Chargers vs Dolphins moneyline: Chargers -200, Jets +165
- Chargers vs Dolphins best bet: Under 44.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins Preview
Injuries to the Chargers' offensive line and running backs have caused their offense to crater over the last few weeks.
On the flip side, the Dolphins can't generate any pressure on defense and they’re blitzing often to compensate.
That’s generally not something you want to do against Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, but you have to do what you have to do, and the Chargers can't block anybody at the moment.
The Chargers are short-handed at the guard and tackle positions, and their running back situation is in complete disarray following injuries to Najee Harris and Omarion Hampton, the latter of which landed on injured reserve due to an ankle injury.
The current circumstances are bound to make the Chargers play conservatively to protect Herbert and try to rely on the run game, even without their top two running backs.
As for Miami, there's no saving grace for the Dolphins' offense in the absence of Tyreek Hill. Their offensive line is really struggling, and I only expect things to get worse moving forward.
Chargers vs Dolphins Best Bets, Analysis
I don't see a path to how the Dolphins are going to move the ball consistently and score points.
The Dolphins have already showed us what their offense looks like with Hill sidelined, and it's the perfect matchup for the Chargers defense.
Tua Tagovailoa leads the league in EPA per play against man coverage.
However, Tagovailoa ranks 30th against zone coverage, and he’s going to see a lot of zone against the Chargers this week.
Chargers vs Dolphins Betting Prediction
- Under 44.5 (-110)
Chargers vs Dolphins Betting Trends
Chargers vs Dolphins Weather
For the latest on NFL injuries, be sure to check out our NFL Injury Report page.
