The Dallas Cowboys (2-2) and Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) will face off tonight on NFL Sunday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on NBC, and the game can be streamed on Peacock and YouTube TV.
The Steelers are consensus 2.5-point favorites over the Cowboys on the spread (Steelers -2.5). The over/under is currently set at 43.5 points. The Steelers are -140 to win outright, while the Cowboys are +118 to pull off the upset.
The Cowboys won 20-15 last week over the Giants. Dak Prescott has been solid with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in 4 games this season, but the Cowboys running game is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. The Steelers lost 27-24 last week against the Colts, their first defeat of the season. Justin Fields has performed well this season with a 98 passer rating while averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.
In the latest injury news, Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs is active tonight after being questionable with an ankle injury, while Dallas will be without Micah Parsons and Brandin Cooks.
Let's get into my Cowboys vs. Steelers predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday Night Football Week 5.
Cowboys vs. Steelers Expert Picks
Spread
My favorite pick for this game is on the spread, backing the home favorites in the Steelers.
Moneyline
I'm not betting the Steelers moneyline and am focused on betting the spread.
Over/Under
I lean toward the under but am not betting it.
My pick: Steelers -2.5
My Steelers vs. Cowboys best bet is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Cowboys vs. Steelers Odds
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 43.5 -112o / -108u | +120 |
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 43.5 -112o / -108u | -140 |
- Cowboys vs. Steelers spread: Steelers -2.5
- Cowboys vs. Steelers over/under: 43.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Steelers moneyline: Steelers -140, Cowboys +118
- Cowboys vs. Steelers best bet: Steelers to cover the spread
Betting Trends
- 69% of bets and 76% of the money are on the Cowboys to cover the spread.
- 76% of bets and 67% of the money are on the over.
- 71% of bets and 57% of the money on the moneyline are on the Steelers to win.
Cowboys vs. Steelers Sunday Night Football Predictions
This is a classic Mike Tomlin spot. The Steelers are coming off of a loss and get a matchup at home. Not just that, but it’s in primetime against the Cowboys. I expect Tomlin will have his team ready to go here.
I lean toward the under here because the main reason I like Pittsburgh is because of the defense. The juice especially shows up in these spots for the Steelers on that side of the ball.
The Steelers are beat up on the offensive line, having lost multiple starters, but I think they’ll get some key players back. Zach Frazier is a name who has stepped up there and helped fill in gaps.
Offensively, the Steelers want to run the ball. That has been helped by the fact that Justin Fields has played well, exceeding all of my expectations. He can use his legs to extend drives and is making smart throws, picking and choosing the right times when to get the ball downfield to George Pickens. He has a really strong command of this offense.
This matchup is especially good because the Cowboys cannot stop the run. Dallas is 31st in line yards, 31st in rush efficiency and 31st in EPA per rush. The Cowboys can't stop the run at all and will not have DeMarcus Lawrence or Michael Parsons.
Parsons is one of the most valuable defensive players in the NFL. Looking at that front seven and defensive line, I don’t see much without him. This Dallas defense is giving up a ton of explosive runs, which is where the Steelers offense has thrived.
Offensively, the Cowboys are giving Dak Prescott no help at all with an inability to run the ball. The backfield is unsettled and the offensive line is struggling. You have two good guards, but the rest of the unit is underwhelming.
There's going to be a lot of clear passing situations for Dallas, and T.J. Watt is inevitable. He’s going to make a big play in this game.
Overall, it’s a great spot for Pittsburgh and an easy fade of the Cowboys.
Pick: Steelers -2.5
Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How to Watch
| Location: | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Date: | Sunday, Oct. 6 |
| Kickoff Time: | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | NBC / Peacock and YouTube TV |
Steelers vs. Cowboys is scheduled for a 8:20 p.m. ET start time, live from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Sunday night. The game is broadcasted live by NBC and is streaming on Peacock and YouTube TV.
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