Georgia Tech vs Georgia Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 14

Georgia Tech vs Georgia Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 14 article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Getty Images. Pictured: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets QB Haynes King.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

Georgia (9-2) locked up a bid to the SEC Championship game by default, thanks to numerous SEC teams taking a loss in Week 13.

This option will now give the Bulldogs a chance to win the conference and bye into the national quarterfinals.

Before head coach Kirby Smart heads to Atlanta to compete for a conference, Georgia Tech (7-4) will visit Athens in Week 14.

Head coach Brent Key has found plenty of success since taking over the Georgia Tech program after serving as offensive line coach.

The Yellow Jackets are no strangers to playing games in a grind, attempting fourth downs at one of the higher rates in the FBS. Key has modeled Georgia Tech's identity as a tough out, going 7-7 over the past two seasons as an underdog.

A win for Georgia Tech can only improve an upcoming bowl selection.

Georgia opened as a 19.5-point favorite over Georgia Tech, with a total of 53, which has seen steam on the Under.

Read on for our Georgia Tech vs Georgia predictions and college football picks.


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Georgia Tech vs Georgia Prediction and Best Bet

  • Georgia Tech vs. Georgia Pick: Georgia Tech 1H +10.5

My Georgia Tech vs. Georgia best bet is on the Yellow Jackets in the first half, with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.


Georgia Tech vs Georgia Odds

Georgia Tech Logo
Friday, Nov. 29
7:30 p.m. ET
ABC
Georgia Logo
Georgia Tech Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+17.5
-110
49
-110 / -110
+600
Georgia Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-17.5
-110
49
-110 / -110
-900
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Georgia Tech vs Georgia Point Spread: Georgia Tech +17.5 (-110) · Georgia -17.5 (-110)
  • Georgia Tech vs Georgia Total: Over/Under 49
  • Georgia Tech vs Georgia Moneyline: Georgia Tech +600 · Georgia -900


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Georgia Tech vs Georgia Spread and Over/Under Analysis

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Betting Preview: Advantages In The Trenches

Offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner continues to add new dimensions to Georgia Tech.

Freshman quarterback Aaron Philo attempted his most passes in Week 13 against NC State. Philo is a known product in the state, setting the all-time passing record for Georgia High School before commitment to Georgia Tech.

While interchanging snap-to-snap with starter Haynes King, Philo has generated 12 big-time throws to just a single turnover-worthy play this season.

In addition to the impressive passing numbers, he has the ability to scoot, rushing for his first touchdown at the college level against NC State.

While the offense has a balanced attack, the 3-3-5 defense has had severe issues in several areas. Georgia Tech ranks in the bottom 10 nationally in tackle grading and generating a pass rush.

The trenches have always been the advantage under Key, as the Yellow Jackets rank 12th nationally in Defensive Line Yards and top 50 in Rush Success Rate allowed, specializing in defending outside zone concepts (61% Success Rate).

Where Georgia Tech falls off defensively is in the secondary, ranking outside the top 85 nationally in Coverage grading and the creation of contested catches.


Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview: More Consistency

Following a loss at Ole Miss, in which Georgia scored just 10 offensive points, it desperately needed scoring heading into the Week 12 contest with Tennessee.

The answer came in a 331-yard passing performance from Carson Beck, getting relief in drops and pressures. Georgia targets have dropped 25 passes this season, well more than in 2023, when Beck had attempted 20 more passes.

Pressures have been a consistent issue, but a solid Tennessee defensive line was held to just a single sack on Beck.

Consistency in drops and pressures continued in a route of UMass, as Beck connected with 10 different targets.

The Bulldogs have not fielded the defensive numbers seen over the past three seasons, but the numbers in passing downs have been consistent. Georgia ranks second nationally in Success Rate allowed when teams fall behind the chains, leading to a top 15 rank in third-down defense.

The Tennessee offense was held to no explosive drives and limited to just 4.4 net yards per play.

Coverage continues to be an issue despite the Bulldogs getting to full health on defense. Georgia ranks 117th nationally in passes defended but 17th in creating contested catches, a signal that the secondary may have had negative luck against the pass.


Georgia Tech vs Georgia Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia Tech and Georgia match up statistically:

Georgia Tech Offense vs. Georgia Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success5827
Line Yards10337
Pass Success3922
Havoc2165
Finishing Drives4025
Quality Drives5143
Georgia Offense vs. Georgia Tech Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success3243
Line Yards8512
Pass Success2161
Havoc3553
Finishing Drives961
Quality Drives3451
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling12318
PFF Coverage9353
Special Teams SP+1065
Middle 84814
Seconds per Play26.8 (54)27.2 (68)
Rush Rate54% (47)45% (113)

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How To Bet My Georgia Tech vs Georgia  Prediction

Georgia Tech has two top-ten victories this season, opening 2024 with a victory over Florida State and later on against Miami in ACC play.

The Yellow Jackets enter this rivalry with an extra day of rest after playing in a Thursday night barn burner against NC State in Week 13.

Conversely, Georgia will play this game shortly after defeating UMass on Saturday.

Georgia Tech has advantages in critical areas offensively, as Philo's passing game has filled in eloquently during King's recent injury concerns.

Georgia's sagging numbers in coverage and defensive quality drives indicate the Yellow Jackets will have scoring attempts. Both teams field top-15 third-down defenses, but the question remains if Georgia Tech can remain in standard downs.

The Yellow Jackets rank second overall in FBS in offensive momentum killer, a statistic designed to look at penalties, turnovers, missed field goals and other events that stop possessions.

The Yellow Jackets have been excellent in the first half this season, failing to trail at halftime in all seven victories. Conversely, Georgia has struggled through the scripted portion of the game.

The Bulldogs have a negative scoring differential this season through the first quarter of games, as the second-half differential is more than twice the first-half's. Furthermore, Georgia Tech has covered in the first half in four of their past five games compared to a Georgia team that has covered the first half just once this season.

The Action Network Power Ratings call for Georgia to be favored by 19.5 points, which aligns with the current market.

There are plenty of reasons to believe the Bulldogs will come firing back on the Yellow Jackets after the scripted portion of the game. Georgia Tech ranks 126th in pass rush, indicating Beck will have a clean pocket to set his feet and fire at numerous targets. Georgia Tech has also lost the overall yards per play battle in their last two wins over NC State and Miami.

Look for Faulkner and Philo to throw a few wrenches at the Georgia defense early, as the Bulldogs have consistent issues in the first half. A live wager on the Bulldogs will be necessary once adjustments are made.

Pick: Georgia Tech 1H +10.5


Georgia vs Georgia Tech Game Info

Location:Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Date:Friday, Nov. 29
Kickoff Time:7:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:ABC

Georgia Tech vs Georgia will be played at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia, on Friday, Nov. 29 at 7:30 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on ABC.


Georgia vs Georgia Tech Betting Trends To Know


Georgia vs Georgia Tech Weather

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About the Author
Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

Follow Collin Wilson @_Collin1 on Twitter/X.

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