The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in Atlanta on Saturday, Dec. 6. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia is favored by 2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -135. Alabama, meanwhile, enters as a +2.5 underdog and is +115 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 47.5 total points.
Here’s my Georgia vs. Alabama prediction and college football picks for Saturday, December 6.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks
- Georgia vs. Alabama Pick: 1H Over 23.5 · Chauncey Bowens Over 31.5 Rushing Yards · Isaiah Horton Anytime TD (+200)
My Alabama vs. Georgia best bets are on both teams to go over the first-half total, Georgia running back Chauncey Bowens to go over his rushing yards prop and Alabama wide receiver Isaiah Horton to score a touchdown. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Georgia vs Alabama Odds, Line, Spread
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | -125 |
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -120 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | +105 |
- Georgia vs Alabama Spread: Georgia -2.5, Alabama +2.5
- Georgia vs Alabama Over/Under: 48.5 Total Points
- Georgia vs Alabama Moneyline: Georgia ML -125, Alabama ML +105
Georgia vs Alabama NCAAF Preview
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia head coach Kirby Smart has had little success against Alabama, and never at the expense of Crimson Tide head coach Kalen DeBoer.
Georgia is 1-10 over its past 11 games against Alabama dating back to 2008.
This will be the third time the teams have met in the SEC Championship game since 2021, with both contests previously going to Alabama.
Of the past two head-to-heads between DeBoer and Smart, Alabama has scored 28 points in the first quarter while limiting Georgia to zero.
Those numbers have long been the script for both teams this season, as Georgia ranks 66th nationally in first-quarter scoring differential.
The second quarter is where Georgia and Alabama have lit up the scoreboard like a Christmas tree. When these two teams met in Week 5, the second quarter saw five possessions end in a score.
Georgia quarterback Gunner Stockton found wide receiver Colbie Young for an explosive touchdown. Later in the quarter, the Bulldogs executed a methodical 11-play drive that included short routes to wide receiver Zachariah Branch.
Young will be out with an ankle injury for this game, potentially asking Georgia to lean more on the running game.
Workhorse running back Chauncey Bowens gained 119 yards on just 12 carries in the first matchup between these sides, and the sophomore is expected to play against Alabama.
Georgia uses a heavy amount of inside zone pivoting between 11 and 12 personnel. Alabama has a severe weakness against inside zone when opponents use two-tight end sets, producing a low 38% Success Rate against the concept.
The Bulldogs defense produced over the final three games against Georgia Tech, Charlotte and Texas. After allowing three red-zone touchdowns to Mississippi State in Week 11, Georgia has allowed just one red-zone touchdown over the final three weeks.
The Dawgs continue to have one of the worst pass rush numbers nationally, but the second-level tackling has been the best in FBS. Georgia comes in as the top overall team in tackling, per PFF, also boasting a top-20 rank in broken tackles allowed per Sports Info Solutions.
Alabama Crimson Tide
No team may need a victory more in Championship Week than Alabama, as the College Football Playoff committee bumped the Tide to ninth in the most recent rankings.
The Crimson Tide are in jeopardy of not only losing the SEC Championship, but also being knocked out of the playoff with a third loss.
There have been close calls, as Auburn dominated Alabama in the Iron Bowl box score. South Carolina also carried a lead into the fourth quarter in Week 9.
Both teams have the same features in the box score, as mobile quarterbacks Ashton Daniels and LaNorris Sellers each led their respective team in rushing yards.
Meanwhile, Stockton had his number called on only three designed carries against the Tide earlier this season.
Alabama defensive coordinator Kane Wommack's bunch has also had issues in creating a pass rush.
The Crimson Tide boast one of the best pass defenses in the nation, ranking top-10 in both opponent pass efficiency and explosives.
The SEC Championship should see more of the same from Week 5, as the Tide produced no quarterback hurries and just two sacks against the Bulldogs.
Quarterback Ty Simpson continues to be the most valuable player on offense, thanks to the lack of a running game.
Running back Jam Miller suffered an injury in the Iron Bowl and will be questionable for the SEC Championship. Backup Daniel Hill has just 57 carries this season and averages less than three yards after first contact.
With no elusiveness or highlight yards expected from the running game, Simpson will be asked to use Germie Bernard, Ryan Williams and Iron Bowl hero Isaiah Horton heavily in the passing game.
These three weapons were targeted a combined 26 times against Georgia in Week 5, with a large portion coming out of the slot.
Bernard was used in short throws with an average depth of target of 4.4 yards, while Horton and Williams acted as home-run hitters at over 12 yards in average depth of target.
Georgia vs Alabama NCAAF Pick
The game script for Alabama and Georgia remains unchanged since their last meeting. The Bulldogs are neutral in scoring differential in the first quarter, while Alabama has only lost the first 15 minutes to Oklahoma and Vanderbilt this season.
There's reason to think the fireworks will go off in the second quarter for both offenses again in this series.
Stockton is expected to run more against an Alabama defense that struggles with mobile quarterbacks. Stockton's fewest number of designed rushing attempts (three) came against Alabama earlier this season.
Offensive coordinator Mike Bobo is sure to get his quarterback's legs in the mix with high stakes, as Stockton ran eight times against Texas in the SEC Championship game a season ago.
Alabama, meanwhile, will look to take advantage of matchups in the passing game. With little rushing success and Miller questionable, Simpson should take to the air quicker than usual.
The advantageous Alabama matchup that stunted the Bulldogs in Week 5 came against UGA cornerback Daylen Everette. The senior was targeted four times and allowed four catches to Williams and Horton.
The price for Horton's props will be higher than usual after the Iron Bowl, but there's reason to think Simpson will utilize his trusted target with the status of tight end Josh Cuevas unknown.
The Action Network Betting Power Ratings call for this game to be a pick'em. Points for either team have value, but game script has been the dominating factor in this series since before the DeBoer hire at Alabama.
The Crimson Tide are predicted to take the opening lead after the first quarter before a swarm of adjustments puts points on the board.
Expect Bowens and Stockton to go ground-and-pound on an Alabama defense that's better against the pass. Conversely, expect Simpson to find Horton in matchups against Everette.
Pick: 1H Over 23.5 · Bowens Over 31.5 Rushing Yards · Horton Anytime TD (+200)
Georgia vs Alabama Trend to Know
