The Missouri Tigers take on the Oklahoma Sooners in Norman, OK. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on SEC Network+.
Missouri is favored by 5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -205. The total is set at 161.5 points.
Here are my Missouri vs. Oklahoma predictions and college basketball picks for March 5, 2025.
Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction
My Pick: Missouri -5 or Better
My Missouri vs Oklahoma best bet is on the Tigers spread, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, find the best lines using our live NCAAB odds page.
Missouri vs Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Pick
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5 -110 | 161.5 -110o / -110u | -205 |
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5 -110 | 161.5 -110o / -110u | +170 |
- Missouri vs Oklahoma spread: Missouri -5
- Missouri vs Oklahoma over/under: 161.5 points
- Missouri vs Oklahoma moneyline: Missouri -205, Oklahoma +170
- Missouri vs Oklahoma best bet: Missouri -5 or Better
My Missouri vs Oklahoma College Basketball Betting Preview
Missouri crushed Oklahoma in the last head-to-head meeting, winning 82-58 in Columbia.
I’m banking on a repeat performance.
I’m very low on the Sooners. They’re an efficient spread pick-and-roll offense behind superstar freshman guard Jeremiah Fears, but he and the team at large have a monster turnover issue, and they’re arguably the worst two-way rebounding team in the SEC.
They ultimately get crushed in the shot-volume battle.
Missouri is an elite ball-screen coverage defense at the point of attack (5.6 pick-and-roll ball-handler points per game allowed, second-lowest in the SEC, per Synergy) because the Tigers’ one-through-five switch-everything defense forces a ton of turnovers against the dribble (28% against opposing ball-screen operators).
So, unsurprisingly, the Tigers forced 17 in the first head-to-head meeting, fueling their transition-heavy attack (31 points on 21 possessions, 1.48 PPP, per Synergy).
I’m a little uncertain how Missouri’s half-court offense works in this matchup, but the Tigers should again force turnovers, get downhill in transition and draw fouls.
They lead the SEC in free throw rate (45%, per KenPom) while the Sooners foul like crazy (43% free-throw rate allowed, per KenPom), so Mizzou generated 35 attempts in the first meeting.
While it’s technically a “revenge” spot for Oklahoma after the first meeting, I think we can buy low on Mizzou after two losses in the past three games, including most recently at Vanderbilt in overtime last Saturday.
The Tigers still have an outside shot at a top-four seed and a double-bye in the SEC Tournament, so I think they’ll play with their hair on fire.
And I’m not afraid of backing Missouri on the road. Although the Tigers have lost and failed to cover in their past two road opportunities, they’re still 5-4 ATS away from home on the year.
