The Georgetown Hoyas take on the UNC Tar Heels in Chapel Hill, NC. Tip-off is set for 5 p.m. ET on ESPN.
UNC is favored by -11.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -750. The total is set at 150.5 points.
Here’s my Georgetown vs. UNC prediction and college basketball picks for December 7, 2025.
Georgetown vs UNC Prediction
My Pick: North Carolina Team Total Over
My Georgetown vs UNC best bet is the Tar Heels' team total over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Georgetown vs. UNC Odds
| Georgetown Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 150.5 -108o / -112u | +525 |
| UNC Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 150.5 -108o / -112u | -750 |
- Georgetown vs UNC spread: UNC -11.5 (-110 ), Georgetown +11.5 (-110)
- Georgetown vs UNC over/under: 150.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Georgetown vs UNC moneyline: Georgetown +525, UNC -750
Georgetown vs UNC College Basketball Betting Preview
Georgetown Basketball
If you're looking for a game where North Carolina's offense can finally hit its ceiling, this matchup gives you just about every indicator you could ask for.
Georgetown's defensive resume looks shaky at baseline. Still, when you dig into the underlying numbers, especially its foul rate and perimeter coverage, it becomes clear just how favorable this environment is for UNC's offense.
The Hoyas rank an alarming 285th nationally in defensive FTA/FGA (41.7%), meaning opponents don't just get to the line — they live there. This isn't a small-sample anomaly, either.
In their two games against legitimate competition (Clemson and Maryland), both opponents combined to take 50+ free throws, consistently getting into the bonus before the under-eight timeout. And now they face a UNC team that is built to punish exactly that weakness.
But the foul issue is only half the story. Georgetown's perimeter defense has been equally problematic, and it's where this matchup becomes even more clear.
Opponents are shooting 35.8% from 3, and that number gets even more concerning when you look at how teams are generating those looks. The Hoyas allow a 38.2% 3PA/FGA rate, meaning teams aren't only hitting 3s, but they're also able to shoot a ton of them.
UNC Basketball
The Tar Heels already carry a 42.4% FTA/FGA, and they attack downhill with physical guards, a post-first scoring identity and an emphasis on getting early position. This style historically inflates foul counts, and they should be more focused on earning easy points with sensational guard Seth Trimble still absent.
That lack of ball pressure and poor closeout discipline become major problems against UNC's balanced shot profile.
While the Heels don't need to be elite shooters to score efficiently, the fact that they're a top-75 offense in adjusted efficiency — combined with Georgetown's inability to run teams off the arc — gives UNC unique ways to score.
And speaking of offensive rebounds, this is another clear advantage for UNC, where it can stack points. The Heels rank 29th nationally in offensive rebounding rate, while Georgetown sits at a mediocre 110th defensively.
Those extra possessions matter even more against a defense that fouls too much.
Stylistically, Georgetown also doesn't force enough turnovers to disrupt UNC's rhythm, meaning the Tar Heels should be able to get into their sets cleanly and maintain pace. Add in the fact that Georgetown's defensive possession length ranks 311th, and this suggests opponents get quality shots early in the clock.
Georgetown vs. UNC Betting Analysis
When you put it all together, this becomes one of UNC's most favorable offensive matchups of the season against a defense that fouls at one of the highest rates in the country, gives up high-percentage 3s, struggles on the glass and lacks on-ball pressure.
This is the perfect get-right spot for the Heels to rediscover their offensive flow and comfortably push past their team total.
My Pick: North Carolina Team Total Over
