The Florida State Seminoles play the Duke Blue Devils in ACC Tournament. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN Networks.
Duke is favored by 17.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2800. Meanwhile, Florida State is the underdog at +17.5 with a moneyline of +1300. The total is set at 151.5 points.
Here’s my Florida State vs. Duke prediction and college basketball picks for March 12, 2026.
Florida State Seminoles vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks
My Pick: FSU +17.5
My Florida State vs Duke best bet is on the Seminoles to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Florida State vs Duke Odds, Betting Line, Point Spread
| Florida State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+17.5 -115 | 149.5 -108o / -112u | +1100 |
| Duke Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-17.5 -105 | 149.5 -108o / -112u | -2100 |
- Florida State vs Duke Spread: Duke -17.5, Florida State +17.5
- Florida State vs Duke Over/Under: 149.5 Total Points
- Florida State vs Duke Moneyline: Florida State ML +1100, Duke ML -2100
Florida State vs Duke College Basketball Preview
The No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament will most definitely come down to either Arizona or Duke.
So, avoiding a letdown here will be crucial for Duke.
At 29-2, the Blue Devils have dominated everyone. Of those wins, 22 have been by double digits. By efficiency, they rank in the top five on offense and have the nation's best defense.
While they are one of the youngest teams in college basketball, which could present problems in the bracket as they face more experienced teams, they rarely ever take forced or bad shots. They have the 13th-best effective field goal percentage, including the fifth-best 2-point percentage.
For Florida State, the Seminoles will need to lean on their 3-point shooting and their experience. They rank 102nd nationally in terms of D-I experience.
Their issue has been 3-point shooting, ranked just 234th nationally at 32.9%, but that doesn’t stop them from continuing to jack them up, as they rank 14th in 3-point rate.
Florida State vs Duke ACC Tournament Pick
This Florida State team also gave the Blue Devils a run for their money, losing by just four points. While that was a long time ago, it’s somewhat comforting.
The other thing here is that Florida State is in the midst of its best stretch in conference play. The 'Noles started conference play at 0-5 and have since gone 10-3.
I think, while absolutely scary to fade Duke, 17.5 points is too wide of a margin.
My Pick: FSU +17.5
