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College Basketball Best Bets, NCAAB Picks, and Predictions: Saturday, February 7

College Basketball Best Bets, NCAAB Picks, and Predictions: Saturday, February 7 article feature image
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Imagn Images. Pictured: Indiana Hoosiers G Lamar Wilkerson (top left), Illinois Illini G Keaton Wagler (top right), North Carolina Tar Heels F Caleb Wilson (bottom left), Auburn Tigers G Tahaad Pettiford (bottom right).

Are you guys ready for another 155-game college basketball Saturday slate?

I know we are.

Our staff of college basketball betting experts has cooked up five college basketball best bets and NCAAB predictions for Saturday, February 7.


College Basketball Best Bets, Picks, Predictions

GameTime (ET)Pick
Wisconsin Badgers LogoIndiana Hoosiers Logo
12 p.m.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies LogoFordham Rams Logo
2 p.m.
Alabama Crimson Tide LogoAuburn Tigers Logo
4 p.m.
Duke Blue Devils LogoNorth Carolina Tar Heels Logo
6:30 p.m.
Illinois Fighting Illini LogoMichigan State Spartans Logo
8 p.m.
Action Logo
Noon
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
Playbook

Wisconsin vs. Indiana Pick

Wisconsin Badgers Logo
Saturday, Feb. 7
12 p.m. ET
FOX
Indiana Hoosiers Logo
Indiana -4.5 or Better
bet365 Logo

By Mike McNamara

Two of the hotter teams in the Big Ten square off Saturday afternoon in Assembly Hall in what should be a great basketball game.

While I anticipate a back-and-forth affair, I like the Hoosiers to create some separation in the second half and ultimately win and cover.

Assembly Hall will be rocking in this one — which is certainly worth a couple of points — while Indiana has been a much different basketball team over the last couple of weeks.

Darian DeVries' team will make the Badgers work for every bucket they make in the half-court, and guys like Nick Dorn and Tayton Conerway continue to make strides on the offensive end.

Give me the Hoosiers to win this one by two-plus possessions at home, securing the cover in the process while continuing to improve their Big Ten positioning.

Pick: Indiana -4.5 or Better



St. Bonaventure vs. Fordham NCAAB Pick

St. Bonavenutre Bonnies Logo
Saturday, Feb. 7
2 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Fordham Rams Logo
Fordham +1 or Better
bet365 Logo

By Tanner McGrath

I project Fordham as a 1.2-point home favorite, so I’m happy to grab the Rams as a home dog.

These two have already played in A-10 play this season. The Bonnies hosted the Rams, losing by four despite shooting 12-for-28 from 3 (43%).

I can’t imagine the Bonnies having a better shooting night than that, and I don’t suspect they’ll win if that 3-point mark regresses on the road.

Meanwhile, I think the Rams are due for some positive 3-point regression, considering they’re shooting a stupid-low 27% from 3 during conference play.

But even if they don’t, they should be able to win in transition, in the paint, and on the offensive glass.

In that earlier meeting, Fordham dominated the Bonnies on the fast-break (19 points) and in the paint (40 points).

The Rams lead the A-10 in offensive rebounding rate (38%), while the Bonnies rank eighth in defensive rebounding rate (71%).

Pick: Fordham +1 or Better

College Basketball Projections, Picks: Tanner McGrath's Power Ratings & Score Model Image


Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide Logo
Saturday, Feb. 7
4 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Auburn Tigers Logo
Auburn -3 or Better
bet365 Logo

By Evan Abrams

This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems.

NCAAB Icon
Evan Abrams – Good Tm, Conf, Sm Fav, Both Tms Bad ATS
the game is played during the Postseason or Regular season
the team's win percentage is between 55% and 100%
the team's ATS win % is between 0% and 50%
the opposing team's ATS win % is between 0% and 50%
the spread is between -9.5 and -1
the game is a Conference game
$8,521
WON
2215-1979-70
RECORD
53%
WIN%

The “Good Team, Conf, Sm Fav, Both Tms Bad ATS” system identifies undervalued favorites in NCAAB who win consistently but have struggled against the spread, facing opponents with similar ATS struggles.

In conference play, where matchups are familiar, and motivation runs high, the better overall team often prevails despite market skepticism caused by prior spread losses.

When a strong team sits as a small favorite, it suggests the line has tightened due to mutual ATS underperformance rather than true competitive balance.

This system capitalizes on that overcorrection, backing reliable programs that win outright at a steady rate when the market perception has dipped too far, turning short favorites into profitable plays.

Both squads have failed to cover in the past two games, but Auburn always has a strong home-court advantage at The Jungle — the Tigers are 8-6 ATS at home this season.

Pick: Auburn -3 or Better

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Duke vs. North Carolina NCAAB Prediction

Duke Blue Devils Logo
Saturday, Feb. 7
6:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
North Carolina Tar Heels Logo
North Carolina +5 or Better
bet365 Logo

By Jim Root

I’m grabbing the points in what’s obviously one of the sport’s biggest and most familiar rivalry spots.

Historical matchup data doesn’t offer much of an edge; the past 10 meetings are basically a wash (5-5 ATS, 6-4 to the over), and the recent year-to-year swings have been extreme.

Solely in terms of straight-up wins, Duke swept all three meetings last season, UNC swept in 2024, and Duke ran the table again in 2023.

There’s no trend to lean on, which pushes this handicap squarely toward matchups and current form.

That’s where UNC stands out to me.

The Heels are one of the few teams in the country that can actually match Duke’s size – and in some lineups, exceed it. Duke ranks second nationally in average height, per KenPom. But UNC sits right behind the Blue Devils in third.

The Heels won't get physically overwhelmed, which immediately raises their floor.

The frontcourt chess match is fascinating.

The NBA prospect head-to-head between Cam Boozer and Caleb Wilson is a huge storyline. Boozer is the more polished, mistake-proof force and probably has the edge overall, but Wilson’s athleticism and length give him a real chance to stress Boozer in space and on the glass.

Schematically, this lines up well for UNC defensively.

Duke’s offense has been extremely rim-and-3 heavy, sitting in just the fourth percentile nationally in mid-range attempt frequency, per CBB Analytics.

Carolina’s drop coverage and paint size are designed to funnel shots into that area, forcing uncomfortable shots late in possessions.

The Heels have a chance to get the win outright, so sprinkling the moneyline intrigues me as well.

Let’s hope for another classic matchup in the sport’s best rivalry.

Pick: North Carolina +5 or Better



Illinois vs. Michigan State College Basketball Pick

Illinois Fighting Illini Logo
Saturday, Feb. 7
8 p.m. ET
FOX
Michigan State Spartans Logo
Illinois ML
bet365 Logo

By Shane McNichol

I love this matchup for Illinois.

The Illini defense is perfectly tuned to answer Jeremy Fears Jr. and his probing attacks into the paint.

Michigan State runs pick-and-roll more than almost anyone. Time and time again, a big man will screen for Fears as he quarterbacks the offense for an open teammate or a shot.

But Illinois has so much length on defense that passing lanes will be harder to find, and shooting opportunities will be floaters and jumpers, not rim attacks.

Fears has a nose for contact and often uses his placement in the pick-and-roll action to draw contact. But Illinois is the nation's best team at avoiding fouls.

Few teams waltz into the Breslin Center and get a win. Tom Izzo is 9-6-1 ATS against top-five teams on his home floor since 2005, but the last three such games were outright losses.

I'll take the Illini to make it four in a row.

Pick: Illinois ML



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