The NBA Playoffs resume this Monday, as three crucial matchups take center stage tonight — and our NBA betting expert Joe Dellera has identified player prop picks showing significant value in all three of today's contests.
Let's get into the breakdown of his top NBA player props for Anthony Black, Isaiah Joe, and Naz Reid on Monday, April 27.
NBA Player Props for Monday, April 27
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8 p.m. | |
| 9:30 p.m. | |
| 10:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Pistons vs. Magic Player Prop: Anthony Black
Anthony Black Under 9.5 Points (-120)
I bet this prop last game, and I just don't think the volume is there to justify this line.
Anthony Black's minutes have been hovering in the low-to-mid 20s, and quite frankly, we got a bit of a lucky break last time when some points were taken off the board for him. He took eight free throws in Game 3, which is pretty atypical for him, and he still didn't clear this number.
When Orlando’s primary guys like Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are healthy, and Black is limited to 10 or fewer field goal attempts, he has only hit this over in 6 of 16 games, averaging just eight points.
In this series specifically, he hasn't even taken more than seven shots in a game. When you look at his history with seven or fewer attempts, he is 0-for-8 in reaching double digits.
Beyond the stats, he was a -17 in 26 minutes last game. He’s not a particularly big dude, and Detroit has found ways to pick on him. As these series progress, rotations naturally shrink. I expect Orlando to tighten the bench and lean on their stars even mpre, leaving Black with even fewer opportunities to hunt for points.
Pick: Anthony Black Under 9.5 Points (-120)
Thunder vs. Suns Player Prop: Isaiah Joe
Isaiah Joe Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-125)
I’m grabbing Isaiah Joe Over 1.5 Threes. The season-long data is overwhelming: Joe has hit this mark in 71% of his games this year, and that number jumps to a staggering 76% in games without Jalen Williams.
Joe missed the last game due to personal reasons, but it wasn't an injury, so I expect him to come back and lock right back in today.
Even in this series, he has performed incredibly well, making two and three triples in his appearances.
What’s most telling is his shot selection—literally every single shot he has taken in this series has been a three-pointer. He went 2-for-7 and 3-for-8 in those games, and with J-Dub sidelined, Joe naturally moves up the pecking order for minutes and looks.
Phoenix is sending so much help at Shai Gilgeous-Alexander that they’re struggling to cover spot-up shooters on the perimeter. OKC is far too unselfish to miss those open looks.
While his points line is sitting around 6.5 or 7.5, I’d much rather just bet on the 2+ threes. Since he isn't even looking for two-point buckets right now, the three-point market is the much more efficient way to target him.
Pick: Isaiah Joe Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-125)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Prop: Naz Reid
Naz Reid Over 12.5 Points (-130)
Naz Reid is clearly playing through a shoulder issue, but that seems to be limiting his three-point volume more than his overall aggression. The good news? He’s still attacking the paint plenty.
Denver isn’t a premier rim-defending team, which creates high-value looks for Naz whether he’s as a roller or attacking slower defenders off the dribble.
Reid dropped 17 points last game, largely because his role expanded following injuries to Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo.
I expect him to see minutes in the mid-20s tonight, a significant jump from the upper-teens he logs when the roster is fully healthy.
Even with the shoulder lingering, the sheer volume of projected minutes makes Reid's points prop worth playing.
Pick: Naz Reid Over 12.5 Points (-130)
