The Miami Heat (3-3) visit the Phoenix Suns (6-1) on Wednesday, tipping off at 8 p.m. from the Footprint Center in Phoenix. The game will be broadcast on League Pass.
The Phoenix Suns are 5.5-point favorites over the Miami Heat on the spread (Suns -5.5), with the over/under at 222.5 points. The Suns are -190 favorites on the moneyline to win outright, while the Miami Heat are +160 to pull off the upset.
Let's dive into my Heat vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 6.
Heat vs. Suns Prediction
Moneyline
I'm going to pass on the Heat vs. Suns moneyline, where the Suns (-190) are favored to win.
Spread
I'm betting the Suns to cover the spread (-5.5) against the Heat.
Over/Under
At 222.5, I'm going to pass on the Heat vs. Suns over/under.
Pick: Suns -5.5
My Heat vs. Suns best bet is Suns -5.5. The best line is available at BetRivers, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs. Suns Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+5.5 | 222.5 -110/-110 | +160 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 222.5 -110/-110 | -190 |
- Heat vs. Suns Odds: Suns -5.5
- Heat vs. Suns Over/Under: 222.5
- Heat vs. Suns Moneyline: Suns -190, Heat +160
Heat vs. Suns Preview
The Miami Heat just dropped a game vs the Sacramento Kings — a nail biter that ended with Domantas Sabonis making a game-winning shot with one second remaining. On the other side, the Suns held on to win at Philadelphia as Paul George returned to the lineup.
The key difference between these teams is the offensive production. Under new head coach Mike Budenholzer, the Suns have cleaned up their shot choice, shooting more than five more 3s per game, and are playing smart offense in the 4th quarter with Tyus Jones running the point.
Just two weeks into the season, the Miami Heat are a bottom-three team in Pace and trail the Suns in both offensive and defensive net rating.
If the Suns are playing faster with a stronger offense and defense, I want to back them below the 6 — the most important NBA betting number and the most common outcome over the past three seasons.
Heat vs. Suns Pick
The line for this game opened at Suns -5 and has climbed to a consensus -5.5.
Because of the impending injury news to Jaime Jaquez Jr., who is such a key piece to the Heat's switching defense, I really like Phoenix and would play any number below -6. You can find Suns -5.5 everywhere, and although the vig ranges from between -107 and -115, I still want Phoenix side at those prices.
If this game closes at -6, we'll have obtained the most important closing line value hook in NBA betting.
Pick: Suns -5.5 (-107 BetRivers)
Heat vs. Suns Starting Lineups
Heat Starting Lineup
PG: Terry Rozier
SG: Tyler Herro
SF: Jimmy Butler
PF: Nikola Jovic
C: Bam Adebayo
Suns Starting Lineup
PG: Tyus Jones
SG: Bradley Beal
SF: Devin Booker
PF: Kevin Durant
C: Jusuf Nurkic
Heat vs. Suns Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Footprint Center in Phoenix |
| Date: | Wednesday, November 6 |
| Time: | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | League Pass |
