The Detroit Tigers host the New York Yankees on June 24, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video.
The Tigers are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction
- Yankees vs Tigers Pick: Under 7.5 (play to 7)
My Yankees vs Tigers best bet is on under 7.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Tigers Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -184 | 7.5 102o / -124u | +120 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +152 | 7.5 102o / -124u | -142 |
- Yankees vs Tigers moneyline: Yankees +120, Tigers -142
- Yankees vs Tigers over/under: 7.5 (-100o / -120u)
- Yankees vs Tigers spread: Tigers -1.5 (+150 ), Yankees +1.5 (-182)
Yankees vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| LHP Carlos Rodón (NYY) | Stat | RHP Casey Mize (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 3.50/3.58 | ERA / xERA | 2.58/3.02 |
| 3.66/3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 2.66/3.83 |
| 13.9% | K-BB% | 18.9% |
| 42.0% | GB% | 33.1% |
| .256 | BABIP | .270 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 85 | Location+ | 105 |
Yankees vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview, Pick
The start to Ryan Weathers’ tenure in the Bronx was pristine. He made the transition to the tough environment by posting a 3.00 ERA in his first eight outings.
However, his ERA is 5.55 in his last six outings, with a brutal 2.52 HR/9.
In all, he was a tad lucky early on. Now his numbers are right in line with his peripherals — owning a 4.13 ERA with a 4.18 xERA and 4.33 FIP.
You can still expect a steady diet of strikeouts, as Weathers collects a 9.93 K/9, his career-best. He features a mid-to-high 90s fastball with four other offerings coming 10% of the time or more.
Life without Aaron Judge is tough. He last suited up for the Bronx Bombers in May. 31st — and since then, the Yankees are 12th in wRC+. That's not bad, but the Yankees are a consistent top-three offense in the league with Judge in the lineup.
The ship is sinking even farther in the last week, failing to score more than three runs in four of their past six contests.
The only three Yankees hitters worth trusting right now are Cody Bellinger, Ben Rice and Paul Goldschmidt. The bottom portion of the order just has too much dead weight. They get nothing from the catcher spot; Jazz Chisholm struggles against lefties; Jose Caballero is a streaky slap hitter, and Anthony Volpe has very little power.
That bodes well for a low-scoring contest.
Particularly facing the stud that is Tarik Skubal.
Sure, Skubal gave up three runs in his two starts off the IL, but the most important part is that he's stretched out, throwing 94 pitches against the White Sox last week, while he maintained his 95-99 mph velocity throughout.
Skubal owns a 3.02 ERA with a 3.65 xERA and 2.75 FIP. It's hard to replicate his dominance in 2024 and 2025, but if the worst version of Skubal is a 3.02 ERA with an FIP in the 2s, then brighter days are coming.
The only real worrisome number is the decline in strikeouts. Skubal punched out over 11 per nine last year and is down to 9.5 this year. He still features a strong whiff and chase rate, which should lead to more strikeouts. We also don't know how long he was pitching with elbow pain. That could factor into his decrease in strikeouts.
The Tigers' offense has been on fire in June, posting a 124 wRC+, tied for the fifth-best in MLB. Their increased power has led to an offensive surge, tallying 36 home runs (2nd-most in that span).
Dillon Dingler, Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, and Spencer Torkelson each have 4+ homers this month. Dingler already has seven tanks with a dazzling 204 wRC+.
So, why am I rolling with the under against such a fiery Tigers lineup?
Well, Comerica Park plays a role. Per Statcast, Comerica is 24th in park factor and 19th in home runs hit. The deep outfield leads to more extra-base hits and long fly-outs than homers, which should allow Weathers to pitch well.
Also, Greene and Carpenter don't hit left-handed pitching as well as they do against right-handed pitching. That should work in Weathers' favor.
Give me the under in a getaway game pitchers' duel.
Pick: Under 7.5 (play to 7)
