White Sox vs. Angels Odds
White Sox Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+110 | 8.5 -104 / -118 | +1.5 -176 |
Angels Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-130 | 8.5 -104 / -118 | -1.5 +146 |
Aside from the most lopsided win of the season, the Angels have been ice-cold at the plate over the past week, entering Monday with four losses in their last five games.
With Reid Detmers toeing the slab against a poor White Sox offense, might the home team be worth a look at this price?
Let's break it all down in my White Sox vs. Angels preview, which includes my betting pick on the series opener from Angel Stadium.
The first part of the equation here for the White Sox is Dylan Cease. After finishing second in Cy Young Award voting a season ago, the right-hander has been a trainwreck in 2023 with a 4.22 ERA and 4.39 xERA. His strikeout rate is down around four points, and his walk rate remains poor at 10.5%.
Cease has certainly been better of late. He's registered a 2.38 ERA across four June starts, striking out 32 in 22 2/3 innings. That's come along with 10 walks, however, and while he did limit the Rangers to two runs last time out, he had the benefit of facing the Tigers, Marlins and a struggling Dodgers offense in his other starts this month.
The White Sox are not having a fun time hitting at the moment. They're hitting .227 over the last two weeks, which puts them 24th in the league, and they've walked in just 5.1% of plate appearances which is the second-worst mark in the bugs during that time.
On top of that, they're 21st in wRC+ against left-handed pitching with a poor 23.2% strikeout rate within the split.
Reid Detmers just continues to improve. The 23-year-old southpaw has finally replicated the dominant strikeout numbers we saw out of him in college and at the minor-league level, sitting down 28.2% of the batters he's seen this season. That's come along with a 4.02 ERA and 4.07 xERA, putting him squarely in the conversation as an above-average pitcher.
Detmers' big issue this year has been in the walk department. He's issued a free pass in 9.1% of plate appearances, and now owns a 9% mark for his career. His .373 xSLG is a good number, as is his elite 4.3% barrel rate. Detmers has only been burned by walks and singles, so this may turn out to be a good matchup for him.
The Angels did have that 25-run outburst in Colorado, so their offensive numbers are going to be slightly inflated, but over the last two weeks they do grade out as the second-best offense in baseball according to wRC+. They're only striking out 19.5% of the time and walking in 10.5% of plate appearances, which are Atlanta Braves-like numbers.
White Sox vs. Angels Betting Pick
The Angels are beginning to put it together at the plate, and I think they should be able to capitalize on a struggling Cease to get Detmers the run support he needs here. He shouldn't even need more than a few, considering this matchup doesn't get any better for the youngster.
Against an impatient team which can't hit for average and can't hit lefties, Detmers should be hard to touch.
I see a lot of value in the Angels as short favorites here at home.
Pick: Angels ML (-132) |
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