The Tampa Bay Rays host the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, September 17. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Blue Jays vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Rays picks: Under 8
My Blue Jays vs Rays best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Rays Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -132 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -158 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +108 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) | Stat | LHP Ian Seymour (TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-10 | W-L | 3-2 |
| 3.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 3.44 / 3.68 | ERA /xERA | 3.16 / 3.27 |
| 3.57 / 3.83 | FIP / xFIP | 2.75 / 3.46 |
| 1.00 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 17.9% | K-BB% | 21.3% |
| 35.6% | GB% | 38.0% |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 103 | Location+ | 99 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system, titled "Steam Unders with Low OU Support", is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
The strategy focuses on regular season games from 2019 to 2025 where the closing total lands between 8 and 10—sweet spots for scoring volatility.
It isolates games where the over/under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under, yet public sentiment heavily favors the over, with only a small share of bets backing the under.
To reduce noise, the system excludes games played in extreme heat or cold, only including those where temperatures range from mild to warm. It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
These filters ensure that neither team is riding unsustainable over or under trends.
Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range. The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8
