Check out Derek Carty's 2 MLB player props today from THE BAT X.
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Carty's 4 MLB Player Props for Wednesday
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:05 PM | |
| 1:35 PM | |
| 7:15 PM | |
| 8:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Pirates vs. Yankees Game 1 MLB Player Prop
Trent Grisham
Home Run (+274 or Better)
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.34 home runs for Grisham.
Oddsmakers are implying 0.28 home runs, so I believe there is value on this prop.
If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 29% of the time, resulting in a 25% ROI with expected value of $25.08 (based on a $100 wager).
This play is good down to at least +274.
Pick: Trent Grisham Home Run (+274 or Better)
Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB Player Prop
Jake Bennett
Under 16.5 Outs (-171 or Better)
THE BAT X is forecasting 14.40 pitching outs for Bennett compared to 16.41 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value on this prop.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 69% of the time, resulting in a 39% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $38.72.
This play is good down to at least -171.
Pick: Jake Bennett Under 16.5 Outs (-171 or Better)
Padres vs. Braves MLB Player Prop
Martin Perez
Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-198 or Better)
There is a value opportunity on Perez's strikeouts prop.
THE BAT X is projecting him to record 3.48 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 4.21.
The model believes there is a 73% chance he records fewer than five strikeouts, so there is value on the under at -135.
This play is good down to at least -198.
Pick: Martin Perez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-198 or Better)
Marlins vs. Astros MLB Player Prop
Sandy Alcantara
Under 18.5 Outs (-190 or Better)
THE BAT X is forecasting 17.70 pitching outs for Alcantara compared to 21.73 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value on this prop.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 72% of the time, resulting in a 38% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $41.61.
This play is good down to at least -190.
